Result
2:0
18/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (413/482) | 81% (307/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (413/482) | 81% (307/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/107) | 59% (58/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', Larotonda C. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 44', Mina A. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Gustavino L. ⚽, Estupinan L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Chacon J. ↓, Luna Tobar C. ↑,
- 63', Maccari M. 🟨,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
- 66', Ordonez J. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 72', Mina A. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
- 72', Aguirre A. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 72', Lugo J. ↓, Monti R. ↑,
- 72', Larotonda C. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 74', Piedra M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 90', Maccari M. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
52.9% | Draw
27% | Vinotinto
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.67) |
3.41 ↓
(3.6) |
4.57 ↓
(5) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Cuenca will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Deportivo Cuenca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Vinotinto?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto were as follows:
26.04.2025
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
