Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/424) | 81% (361/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/424) | 81% (361/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/75) | 49% (35/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/125) | 61% (48/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Mancinelli L. ⚽,
- 39', Raggio E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Larotonda C. 🟨,
- 65', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 67', Estupinan L. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
- 79', Ushina K. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 80', Mancinelli L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 88', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
46.1% | Draw
30% | Deportivo Cuenca
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.04) |
3.08
(3.08) |
3.95 ↑
(3.83) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vinotinto will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Vinotinto in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Vinotinto is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Vinotinto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Vinotinto?
Deportivo Cuenca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
