Deportivo Cuenca vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto
Result
2:0
18/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.43
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (413/482)81% (307/380)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.700.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
208
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
713
Passes
86% (413/482)81% (307/380)
Long passes
60% (46/77)43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
67% (72/107)59% (58/98)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.57
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
149
Tackles
78% (14/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
1119
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.002.70
Goals prevented
0.000.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', Larotonda C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 44', Mina A. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Gustavino L. , Estupinan L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Chacon J. , Luna Tobar C. ,
  • 63', Maccari M. 🟨,
  • 66', Rodriguez A. , Arroyo L. ,
  • 66', Ordonez J. , Mancinelli L. ,
  • 72', Mina A. , Ushina K. ,
  • 72', Aguirre A. , Coba K. ,
  • 72', Lugo J. , Monti R. ,
  • 72', Larotonda C. , Melo A. ,
  • 74', Piedra M. , Lopez A. ,
  • 90', Maccari M. , Morocho S. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Cuenca
52.9%
Draw
27%
Vinotinto
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 25.8% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 24.7% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.67)
    3.41
    (3.6)
    4.57
    (5)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • Deportivo Cuenca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vinotinto has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Vinotinto were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )