Heerenveen vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
12/05/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 33
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.022.01
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
2216
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
112
Blocked Shots
67
Free Kicks
1712
Corner Kicks
72
Offsides
32
Throw-ins
159
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
1016
Yellow Cards
03
Total Passes
426391
Completed Passes
347313
Tackles
1721
Attacks
10280
Dangerous Attacks
6132
Clearances Completed
1115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Tahiri A. (Pen),
  • 21', Oroz D. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, van Ginkel M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Meulensteen M. , Cornelisse E. ,
  • 46', Oroz D. , Van Zwam G. ,
  • 46', Hendriks R. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, van Ginkel M. (Pen),
  • 61', Aaronson P. 🟨,
  • 68', Tahiri A. , van Ee E. ,
  • 68', van Amersfoort P. , Nicolaescu I. ,
  • 68', Walemark P. , Nunnely C. ,
  • 68', Haye T. , Olsson S. ,
  • 80', van Ginkel M. , Buitink T. ,
  • 83', Brouwers L. , Webster C. ,
  • 84', Aaronson P. , Domgjoni T. ,
  • 87', de Regt G. , Hadj Moussa A. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Buitink T. , Mica Pinto (A),

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
62.3%
Draw
19.9%
Vitesse
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 22.4% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 17.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Heerenveen - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.63)
    4.81
    (4.22)
    5.34
    (4.82)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 2.
    • Recent matches Heerenveen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitesse is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Heerenveen is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27-34.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-16.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Vitesse were as follows:
    21.12.2023 Vitesse - Heerenveen 1:0
    11.11.2023 Vitesse - Heerenveen 1:3
    22.03.2023 Heerenveen - Vitesse 1:1
    28.01.2023 Heerenveen - Vitesse 1:3
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    03.05.2024 Almere City - Heerenveen 1:1
    25.04.2024 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 0:8
    07.04.2024 Heerenveen - Utrecht 2:3
    03.04.2024 Heerenveen - Twente 3:3
    Latest results of Vitesse
    05.05.2024 Utrecht - Vitesse 1:0
    28.04.2024 Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard 3:2
    13.04.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Vitesse 6:0
    07.04.2024 Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    02.04.2024 Vitesse - Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV25212273:304365
    2Feyenoord25153755:352048
    3Ajax251111347:311644
    4Nijmegen25127661:431843
    5Twente251011441:261541
    6AZ Alkmaar25116842:40239
    7Sparta Rotterdam251141032:42-1037
    8Utrecht2597938:31734
    9Heerenveen2597942:43-134
    10Sittard25951139:45-632
    11Groningen25941233:35-231
    12G.A. Eagles25611838:39-129
    13Zwolle25771134:50-1628
    14FC Volendam25761229:41-1227
    15Excelsior25751326:42-1626
    16NAC Breda25571325:39-1422
    17Telstar25491231:41-1021
    18Heracles25521832:65-3317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie