Result
2:2
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/414) | 77% (327/422) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/414) | 77% (327/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/87) | 66% (91/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Llonch P. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', Llonch P. ↓, Makanza N. ↑,
- 64', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
- 72', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 75', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
- 75', Ingason H. ↓, Geerts D. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Makanza N. ⚽,
- 79', Bannis N. 🟨,
- 85', Marschalk M. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 85', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 85', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 86', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 90+2', Buttner A. ↓, K. te Veluwe ↑,
- 90+2', Tahaui A. ↓, Zumberi V. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Schikora M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport
40.9% | Draw
25.5% | Vitesse
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.3%)The ML Model estimate for Vitesse aligns with the current prediction.
Helmond Sport - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.25) |
3.61 ↓
(3.85) |
2.79 ↑
(2.73) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Vitesse will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Vitesse (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
- Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitesse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Helmond Sport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Vitesse?
Helmond Sport has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Helmond Sport?
Vitesse has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Vitesse were as follows:
20.09.2025
Vitesse
-
Helmond Sport
3:1
21.02.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Vitesse
3:0
29.11.2024
Vitesse
-
Helmond Sport
2:1
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
