Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche
27% | Draw
30.6% | Vitória de Sernache
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Peniche - Vitória de Sernache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(3.15) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
2.12 ↓
(2.16) |
10.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peniche - Vitória de Sernache?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sernache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sernache will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Vitória de Sernache?
Peniche has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Peniche?
Vitória de Sernache has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Vitória de Sernache were as follows:
09.11.2025
Vitória de Sernache
-
Peniche
0:1
17.03.2024
Peniche
-
Vitória de Sernache
2:0
03.12.2023
Vitória de Sernache
-
Peniche
0:1
Latest results of Peniche
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 29:8 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 29:11 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Peniche | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Lajense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 17 |
| 13 | Electrico | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:53 | -26 | 16 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
