Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+9', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Vitória de Sernache
50.9% | Draw
28% | Peniche
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Vitória de Sernache - Peniche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.82) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
4.3 ↑
(3.99) |
10.4%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2.
- Sernache is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peniche is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sernache is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Peniche?
Vitória de Sernache has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Vitória de Sernache?
Peniche has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - Peniche were as follows:
17.03.2024
Peniche
-
Vitória de Sernache
2:0
03.12.2023
Vitória de Sernache
-
Peniche
0:1
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Latest results of Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35:17 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 22:10 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Fatima | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Peniche | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Lajense | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12:25 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 | Electrico | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:44 | -23 | 13 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
