Vitoria Guimarães B vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
48
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Paulo D. , Bandarra M. (A),
  • 22', Morgado T. 🟨,
  • 30', Rika 🟨,
  • 35', Dias F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rika , Oliveira A. ,
  • 58', Valente A. , Souza E. ,
  • 58', Eduardo W. , Afonso A. ,
  • 61', Tepe M. , Bruma ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Dias F. ,
  • 71', Paulo D. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Nogueira M. ,
  • 77', Horta Leitao D. , David Rebelo ,
  • 82', Bandarra M. , Machado J. ,
  • 82', Morgado T. , Da Silva Moreira N. J. ,
  • 84', Carvalho D. , Verdi S. ,
  • 90+2', Zeega , Deivid M. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Afonso A. ,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães B
28.3%
Draw
30.9%
Belenenses
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 31.9% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 32.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vitoria Guimarães B - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (2.82)
    2.98
    (2.85)
    2.26
    (2.55)
    8.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Guimarães B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Belenenses is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Belenenses is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
    Latest results of Belenenses
    07.02.2026 Belenenses - Trofense 0:0
    17.01.2026 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 1:0
    11.01.2026 Caldas - Belenenses 1:2
    03.01.2026 Belenenses - Amora 3:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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