Vitoria Guimarães B vs Trofense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
104
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Diarra M. , Cunha G. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Diarra M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pinto H. , Zeega ,
  • 48', Duarte E. 🟨,
  • 58', Borges F. , Welisson ,
  • 58', Duarte E. , Diagne O. ,
  • 60', Martins J. , Nunes H. ,
  • 60', Ruca , Paula G. ,
  • 63', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,
  • 68', Nuninho , Paciencia V. ,
  • 69', Diarra M. 🟨,
  • 70', Costinha , Miguel Vaz ,
  • 72', Diarra M. , Rocha T. ,
  • 72', Ivandro , Hachadi K. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Welisson (Own goal),
  • 81', Miguel Vaz 🟨,
  • 83', Thiago Balieiro , Tepe M. ,
  • 90', Cunha G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hachadi K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães B
13.5%
Draw
31.7%
Trofense
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 30.5% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 32% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães B's form might have worsened.
  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+25%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-23.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.43
    (2.58)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    2.08
    (2.88)
    -12.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Guimarães B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Trofense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
    Latest results of Trofense
    21.09.2025 Trofense - Vianense 2:3
    13.09.2025 Trofense - Fafe 5:1
    30.08.2025 Trofense - Varzim 5:1
    23.08.2025 Paredes - Trofense 0:0
    16.08.2025 Trofense - Braga B 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2Sanjoanense826013:10312
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4AD Fafe83329:9012
    5Varzim824213:10310
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Amarante82246:10-48
    8Paredes81528:808
    9Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    10Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas852111:7417
    2Mafra843111:8315
    3Academica841313:8513
    4Os Belenenses74129:7213
    5Atletico CP83148:6210
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Amora82248:11-38
    8Santarem82245:9-48
    9Lusitano GC82159:10-17
    10Covilha81434:8-47

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )