Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Cunha G. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Diarra M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pinto H. ↓, Zeega ↑,
- 48', Duarte E. 🟨,
- 58', Borges F. ↓, Welisson ↑,
- 58', Duarte E. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
- 60', Martins J. ↓, Nunes H. ↑,
- 60', Ruca ↓, Paula G. ↑,
- 63', Rodrigo Silva 🟨,
- 68', Nuninho ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 69', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 70', Costinha ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
- 72', Diarra M. ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
- 72', Ivandro ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Welisson (Own goal),
- 81', Miguel Vaz 🟨,
- 83', Thiago Balieiro ↓, Tepe M. ↑,
- 90', Cunha G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hachadi K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães B
13.5% | Draw
31.7% | Trofense
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães B's form might have worsened.Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+25%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-23.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.43 ↑
(2.58) |
3.59 ↑
(3.1) |
2.08 ↓
(2.88) |
-12.1%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- Guimarães B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Trofense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Trofense has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães B won against Trofense?
Vitoria Guimarães B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Vitoria Guimarães B?
Trofense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense were as follows:
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Amarante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
