Vitoria Guimarães vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina
Result
1:1
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1, Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 3, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports Premium
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 4
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 4
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.28
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1712
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
720
Offsides
02
Fouls
207
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2228
Touches in the Opposition Box
1928
Passes
82% (323/393)82% (377/461)
Passes in the final third
71% (86/121)72% (85/118)
Crosses
10% (1/10)23% (3/13)
Tackles
70% (23/33)83% (15/18)
Clearances Total
2214
Interceptions
1417

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Kaio Cesar (A),
  • 42', Gustavo 🟨,
  • 45+1', Tiago Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Richardson A. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
  • 46', Comuzzo P. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
  • 50', Manu 🟨,
  • 57', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
  • 57', Ikone J. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
  • 66', Kouame C. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
  • 75', Borges R. 🟨,
  • 75', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
  • 80', Tiago Silva ↓, Handel T. ↑,
  • 80', Santos N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽,
  • 89', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kaio Cesar ↓, Bica ↑,
  • 90+5', Varela B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
28%		Draw
29.6%		Fiorentina
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 28.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 30.3% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.36 ↑
    (3.01)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.3)    		 2.22 ↓
    (2.39)    		 6.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 7.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 10 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 68.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 54.1% – 82.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Guimarães have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Fiorentina have a series of home games.
    • Fiorentina will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
    • There are questionable in Guimarães: Borevkovic T. (Injury) Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Pongracic M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    16.12.2024 Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺
    12.12.2024 St. Gallen - Vitoria Guimarães 1:4 ✺
    07.12.2024 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0 ✺
    02.12.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 4:0 ✺
    28.11.2024 Astana - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    12.12.2024 Fiorentina - LASK Linz 7:0 ✺
    08.12.2024 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:0 ✺
    04.12.2024 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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