Marítimo vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Marítimo
39.7%
Draw
29.1%
Vitoria Guimarães
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.6% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.5% 36.6%

Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.39
(2.65)
3.24
(3.15)
3.02
(2.65)
5.8%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
    • Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
    • Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    13.11.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo 1:0
    Latest results of Marítimo
    22.04.2023 Famalicão - Marítimo 3:2
    08.04.2023 Arouca - Marítimo 1:0
    02.04.2023 Marítimo - Boavista 4:2
    19.03.2023 Casa Pia - Marítimo 2:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto16151035:43146
    2Sporting CP16132146:83841
    3Benfica16106033:102336
    4Gil Vicente1676321:111027
    5Braga1675428:151326
    6Famalicao1665520:13723
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1664616:21-522
    8Moreirense1563621:24-321
    9Estoril1655627:26120
    10Estrela1646620:24-418
    11Rio Ave1638519:28-917
    12Alverca1652916:27-1117
    13Santa Clara1544711:15-416
    14Nacional1544717:21-416
    15Casa Pia1635816:29-1314
    16Arouca1635817:39-2214
    17Tondela1523109:27-189
    18AFS16041211:41-304

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2