Result
29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Marítimo 39.7% | Draw 29.1% | Vitoria Guimarães 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↓ (2.65) |
3.24 ↑ (3.15) |
3.02 ↑ (2.65) |
5.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Marítimo?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
13.11.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Marítimo
1:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2