Result
29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Marítimo
39.7% | Draw
29.1% | Vitoria Guimarães
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.65) |
3.24 ↑
(3.15) |
3.02 ↑
(2.65) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Marítimo?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
13.11.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Marítimo
1:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | AFS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
