Result
29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Marítimo
39.7% | Draw
29.1% | Vitoria Guimarães
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.65) |
3.24 ↑
(3.15) |
3.02 ↑
(2.65) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Marítimo?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
13.11.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Marítimo
1:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
