Result
3:1
26/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.64 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (315/370) | 74% (181/244) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.64 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.13 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (315/370) | 74% (181/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (107/139) | 45% (22/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 4.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 12', Edenilson 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Viveros K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 56', Benavidez G. 🟨,
- 63', Joao Cruz ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
- 68', Arthur Dias 🟨,
- 74', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 74', Rene ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 79', Portilla J. ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 79', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 80', Bruninho ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 87', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 89', Mendoza S. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 90', Santos 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Ze Vitor ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 90+5', Zapelli B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 1, Luiz Gustavo ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
- 90+9', Hellmann O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
58.8% | Draw
25.5% | Vitória Salvador
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.78) |
3.72 ↑
(3.32) |
6.05 ↑
(4.38) |
5.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Athletico PR (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Vitória (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 4.
- Athletico PR is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitória is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Athletico PR is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Jadson
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Inactive)
Nathan Mendes
(Yellow Cards)
Neris
(Inactive)
Pedro H.
(Hand Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Riccieli
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Renato Kayzer
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Vitória Salvador?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Athletico Paranaense?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
02.11.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Vitória Salvador
1:2
30.06.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
