Result
0:0
15/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Referee: Antamo D. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 72% (240/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 72% (240/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 38% (30/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (83/123) | 63% (87/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 25', Reid T. 🟨,
- 36', Ritari M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Raisanen A. 🟨,
- 62', Atarah A. 🟨,
- 63', Latonen J. ↓, Eremenko R. ↑,
- 63', Kabashi A. ↓, Bashkirov E. ↑,
- 68', Atarah A. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
- 74', Raisanen A. ↓, Mohammed T. ↑,
- 75', Eremenko R. 🟨,
- 87', Wilson W. ↓, Jakonen O. ↑,
- 89', Reid T. ↓, Daoussi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
44.7% | Draw
26% | VPS Vaasa
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gnistan's performance.VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gnistan - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.34) |
3.63 ↓
(3.7) |
3.2 ↑
(2.55) |
6%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gnistan - VPS Vaasa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). VPS will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gnistan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
- Gnistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- VPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gnistan could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Vayrynen T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in VPS: Dekker T.
(Yellow Cards)
Fall M.
(Yellow Cards)
Lindeman S.
(Inactive)
Pedro Justiniano
(Yellow Cards)
Smyth L.
(Inactive)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in VPS: Reid T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against VPS Vaasa?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Gnistan?
VPS Vaasa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
18.06.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Gnistan
0:0
23.10.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Gnistan
0:1
04.08.2024
Gnistan
-
VPS Vaasa
3:0
20.04.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Gnistan
3:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
