Gnistan vs VPS Vaasa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Gnistan - VPS Vaasa
15/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gnistan
46.9%
Draw
25%
VPS Vaasa
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 24.8% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 24.7% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gnistan's performance.
  • VPS Vaasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS Vaasa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS Vaasa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gnistan - VPS Vaasa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.34)
    3.82
    (3.7)
    3.31
    (2.55)
    4.6%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Gnistan - VPS Vaasa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
    • In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • VPS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Gnistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    23.10.2024 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:1
    04.08.2024 Gnistan - VPS Vaasa 3:0
    20.04.2024 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 3:2
    Latest results of Gnistan
    09.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan 2:5
    04.08.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 2:2
    28.07.2025 Gnistan - HJK 2:4
    20.07.2025 SJK - Gnistan 3:1
    13.07.2025 Gnistan - Haka 2:0
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    10.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - SJK 1:2
    01.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    25.07.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 2:2
    19.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 19127043:162743
    2KuPS ✔ 19114433:201337
    3Ilves ✔ 19113540:261436
    4HJK ✔ 19112645:252035
    5SJK ✔ 19104537:28934
    6Gnistan1966730:35-524
    7Jaro1964922:28-622
    8VPS1956828:30-221
    9Mariehamn1946919:38-1918
    10Haka19441122:35-1316
    11AC Oulu19431225:39-1415
    12KTP ✔ 19351121:45-2414

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )