VPS Vaasa vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS Vaasa - HJK
Result
0:2
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
VPS Vaasa - HJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.13
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
81% (363/448)84% (396/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.952.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.87
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
914
Passes
81% (363/448)84% (396/469)
Long passes
47% (33/70)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
62% (72/117)61% (54/88)
Crosses
35% (9/26)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.53
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
149
Tackles
67% (8/12)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3639
Clearances
1126
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.870.50
Goals prevented
-0.130.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mero T. , Kouassivi-Benissan K. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ,
  • 68', Kallinen J. , Lingman L. ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ,
  • 70', Haukioja M. 🟨,
  • 71', Raisanen A. , Almen A. ,
  • 71', Jakonen O. , Fleuriau N. ,
  • 75', Simojoki K. 🟨,
  • 81', Pukki T. , Hudd R. ,
  • 81', Michel B. , Lyons-Foster B. ,
  • 90', Dekker T. , Huhta K. ,
  • 90+5', Tikkanen V. , Boamah M. ,

Chances of winning


VPS Vaasa
24.8%
Draw
24.7%
HJK
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 23.3% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 23.1% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • VPS Vaasa - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.87)
    3.87
    (4.1)
    1.86
    (1.84)
    5.4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - HJK?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 33.3%). HJK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: HJK will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 2.
    • VPS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • HJK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • VPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, HJK is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in VPS: Borchers M. (Inactive) Lindeman S. (Inactive) Marttinen T. (Inactive) Ronnberg V. (Inactive) Smyth L. (Inactive) Vahtera J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in HJK: Boamah M. (Inactive) Ezeh D. (Inactive) Hostikka S. (Inactive) O'Shaughnessy D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - HJK were as follows:
    26.04.2025 HJK - VPS Vaasa 3:1
    20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1
    01.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:3
    17.05.2024 HJK - VPS Vaasa 1:2
    08.10.2023 VPS Vaasa - HJK 3:2
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    02.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - Haka 1:2
    18.06.2025 VPS Vaasa - Gnistan 0:0
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    Latest results of HJK
    02.07.2025 HJK - FF Jaro 2:3
    27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:0
    24.06.2025 Klubi 04 - HJK 0:4
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    14.06.2025 Oulu - HJK 0:4
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1596030:102033
    2Ilves16102436:191732
    3KuPS1693427:171030
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6Gnistan1555520:24-420
    7VPS1553723:24-118
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1543817:24-715
    10Haka1543816:26-1015
    11AC Oulu1533921:32-1112
    12KTP1524916:36-2010

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of VPS Vaasa - HJK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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