Result
0:2
05/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/448) | 84% (396/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (363/448) | 84% (396/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/117) | 61% (54/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mero T. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ⚽,
- 68', Kallinen J. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ⚽,
- 70', Haukioja M. 🟨,
- 71', Raisanen A. ↓, Almen A. ↑,
- 71', Jakonen O. ↓, Fleuriau N. ↑,
- 75', Simojoki K. 🟨,
- 81', Pukki T. ↓, Hudd R. ↑,
- 81', Michel B. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
- 90', Dekker T. ↓, Huhta K. ↑,
- 90+5', Tikkanen V. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
24.8% | Draw
24.7% | HJK
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
VPS Vaasa - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↓
(3.87) |
3.87 ↓
(4.1) |
1.86 ↑
(1.84) |
5.4%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - HJK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 33.3%). HJK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 2.
- VPS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- VPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, HJK is the team to beat.
- There will not play in VPS: Borchers M.
(Inactive)
Lindeman S.
(Inactive)
Marttinen T.
(Inactive)
Ronnberg V.
(Inactive)
Smyth L.
(Inactive)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in HJK: Boamah M.
(Inactive)
Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Hostikka S.
(Inactive)
O'Shaughnessy D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against HJK?
VPS Vaasa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against VPS Vaasa?
HJK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - HJK were as follows:
26.04.2025
HJK
-
VPS Vaasa
3:1
20.09.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
HJK
1:1
01.09.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
HJK
1:3
17.05.2024
HJK
-
VPS Vaasa
1:2
08.10.2023
VPS Vaasa
-
HJK
3:2
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | SJK | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | HJK ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
