Result
1:3
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/424) | 80% (348/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/424) | 80% (348/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (96/148) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
- 30', Kromah L. 🟨,
- 32', Twisk N. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
- 57', Kromah L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
- 57', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 2, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
- 61', de Blok L. 🟨,
- 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
- 62', Boogaard K. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Toppenberg K. (A),
- 72', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 72', Heise P. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
- 72', Odriss M. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
- 77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo
46.5% | Draw
26.6% | Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.98) |
3.51 ↓
(3.75) |
3.39 ↑
(3.14) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
- In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Venlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Venlo: Timber D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Natali A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against VVV-Venlo?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
07.11.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
VVV-Venlo
0:2
03.02.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
VVV-Venlo
3:0
08.11.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:1
10.07.2024
VVV-Venlo
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
22.04.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
VVV-Venlo
2:1
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 59:29 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 51:46 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Roda | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 43:37 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:40 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Willem II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 45:46 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Venlo | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 34:39 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:44 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Oss | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 26 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 20 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
