VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:3
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.421.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Passes
79% (334/424)80% (348/435)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.421.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.762.02
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
157
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
4423
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
913
Passes
79% (334/424)80% (348/435)
Long passes
39% (15/38)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)62% (63/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.55
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
139
Tackles
32% (6/19)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4558
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
2.021.76
Goals prevented
-0.980.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
  • 30', Kromah L. 🟨,
  • 32', Twisk N. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
  • 57', Kromah L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
  • 57', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
  • 61', 0 - 2, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
  • 61', de Blok L. 🟨,
  • 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
  • 62', Boogaard K. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
  • 71', 0 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Toppenberg K. (A),
  • 72', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
  • 72', Heise P. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
  • 72', Odriss M. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
  • 77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
46.5%		Draw
26.6%		Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 24.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 23.1% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.75)    		 3.39 ↑
    (3.14)    		 7.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Venlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Natali A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2
    03.02.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    22.04.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺
    24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺
    19.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
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