VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:3
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.421.25
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Passes
79% (334/424)80% (348/435)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.421.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.762.02
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
50
Shots inside the box
157
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
4423
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
913
Passes
79% (334/424)80% (348/435)
Long passes
39% (15/38)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)62% (63/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.55
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
139
Tackles
32% (6/19)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4558
Clearances
1732
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
2.021.76
Goals prevented
-0.980.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
  • 30', Kromah L. 🟨,
  • 32', Twisk N. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zwart J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
  • 57', Kromah L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
  • 57', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
  • 61', 0 - 2, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
  • 61', de Blok L. 🟨,
  • 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
  • 62', Boogaard K. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
  • 71', 0 - 3, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Toppenberg K. (A),
  • 72', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
  • 72', Heise P. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
  • 72', Odriss M. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
  • 77', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
46.5%		Draw
26.6%		Jong AZ Alkmaar
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 24.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 23.1% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
    •

    VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.75)    		 3.39 ↑
    (3.14)    		 7.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 50.6% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): VVV-Venlo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Venlo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong AZ is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Venlo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Natali A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2
    03.02.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    08.11.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.07.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    22.04.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺
    24.11.2025 Almere City - VVV-Venlo 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺
    19.12.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:2 ✺
    12.12.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:4 ✺
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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