Vitesse vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.79
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
57
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Passes
72% (280/390)73% (282/386)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.782.16
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1513
Passes
72% (280/390)73% (282/386)
Long passes
38% (33/88)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
63% (66/105)50% (52/103)
Crosses
36% (9/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.88
Throw ins
2620
Fouls
1315
Tackles
78% (14/18)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
1233
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.161.78
Goals prevented
0.16-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Schikora M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Pinto J. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
  • 38', van Zijl B. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', Verheij L. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Matoug N. (A),
  • 61', de Blok L. 🟨,
  • 65', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
  • 65', Schwarz R. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
  • 66', Saddiki D. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
  • 66', Matoug N. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
  • 72', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
  • 75', Verheij L. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
  • 75', Sbai Y. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
  • 86', Bonnah S. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
  • 86', Ouallil Y. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Huth E. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
  • 90', Wehmeyer L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitesse
53.9%		Draw
23.7%		VVV-Venlo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 24.7% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Vitesse - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.74 ↓
    (1.84)    		 3.94 ↑
    (3.75)    		 4.14 ↑
    (3.69)    		 7.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Vitesse - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Venlo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vitesse (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Vitesse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vitesse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Hoogewerf D. (Yellow Cards) Steffen M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    31.10.2025 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 1:2
    12.01.2025 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 1:4
    16.08.2024 VVV-Venlo - Vitesse 0:1
    Latest results of Vitesse
    06.02.2026 FC Oss - Vitesse 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2026 Vitesse - FC Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 ADO Den Haag - Vitesse 0:0 ✺
    23.01.2026 Vitesse - ADO Den Haag 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    07.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven 1:0
    02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 Roda - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag29222570:304068
    2Cambuur28196360:322863
    3De Graafschap29147855:441149
    4Jong PSV291451059:53647
    5Roda291210749:43646
    6Willem II29137941:36546
    7Almere City291331360:501042
    8Waalwijk291181047:44341
    9Dordrecht291181039:38141
    10Den Bosch291161251:53-239
    11Venlo291141438:43-537
    12Eindhoven FC291041541:53-1234
    13FC Emmen28961343:51-833
    14Jong Utrecht29891247:52-533
    15Helmond29951536:53-1732
    16Maastricht29871435:58-2331
    17Jong AZ29931749:57-830
    18Vitesse291091043:45-227
    19Oss29691435:50-1527
    20Jong Ajax29681540:53-1326

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