Willem II vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

Eerste Divisie - Round 24
Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.42	0.88
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
25	8
Shots on target
9	2
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Passes
82% (333/407)	78% (351/450)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.42	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.93	0.84
Total shots
25	8
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
17	6
Shots outside the box
8	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
38	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
12	13
Passes
82% (333/407)	78% (351/450)
Long passes
53% (34/64)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
71% (90/127)	63% (64/101)
Crosses
37% (10/27)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.55	0.46
Throw ins
12	20
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
40% (6/15)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
49	46
Clearances
24	29
Interceptions
13	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	7
xGOT faced
0.84	1.93
Goals prevented
-0.16	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
69', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
69', Kromah L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
71', Haen D. 🟨,
75', Et Taibi A. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
75', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
77', van Oorschot D. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
77', Sbai Y. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A),
84', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
84', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽, Tjoe a On N. (A),
89', Blancquart G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Willem II
50.5%

Draw
24.3%

VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Willem II - VVV-Venlo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	7.6% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Willem II - VVV-Venlo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Venlo (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Venlo (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against VVV-Venlo?

Willem II has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against Willem II?

VVV-Venlo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - VVV-Venlo were as follows:

21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2

23.03.2024 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:0

17.11.2023 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 1:3

27.05.2023 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:2

23.05.2023 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 3:2

Latest results of Willem II

18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺

18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺

12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

16.01.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺

28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	32	21	7	4	66:37	29	70
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	31	10	7	14	48:56	-8	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie