Waalwijk vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
29/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.39
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (348/408)87% (461/532)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.661.12
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
911
Passes
85% (348/408)87% (461/532)
Long passes
55% (21/38)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
71% (55/77)77% (130/169)
Crosses
55% (6/11)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.82
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
119
Tackles
56% (10/18)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
237
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.122.66
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, van der Leij T. , Kuijpers R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Binder N. , Ferrah I. ,
  • 46', Schaapman M. , Panneflek O. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Familia-Castillo J. , Altena J. (A),
  • 52', 2 - 1, Rolke T. , van der Veen Y. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 2, Diemers M. (Pen),
  • 59', van der Veen Y. , Sjostrand O. ,
  • 59', Baouf I. , Berkhout J. ,
  • 61', Kuijpers R. , Cleonise D. ,
  • 61', Familia-Castillo J. , Held N. ,
  • 66', Diemers M. , Souren N. ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Held N. , Altena J. (A),
  • 78', Balk R. 🟨,
  • 81', Witteveen M. , van Eijma R. ,
  • 81', Amofa J. , van der Sande J. ,
  • 87', Kuster H. , Zorgdrager B. ,
  • 90+1', Rolke T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
36.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cambuur
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 23.7% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 24.1% 38%

Waalwijk - Cambuur Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(2.32)
3.45
(3.82)
2.6
(2.43)
5.9%
(10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cambuur will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3.
    • Waalwijk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cambuur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Waalwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Cambuur were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    17.12.2024 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:1
    28.05.2023 Cambuur - Waalwijk 4:0
    17.09.2022 Waalwijk - Cambuur 5:1
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    20.10.2025 Dordrecht - Waalwijk 1:2
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Den Bosch - Waalwijk 2:2
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    Latest results of Cambuur
    24.10.2025 Waalwijk - Cambuur 4:2
    17.10.2025 Almere City - Cambuur 1:1
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    03.10.2025 Cambuur - Emmen 3:2
    29.09.2025 Roda - Cambuur 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    5VenloBye
    8ByeHeerenveen
    9Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    10't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    11HFCBye
    12UNAARC1 : 2
    13WaalwijkBye
    16ByeCambuur
    17HelmondBye
    20ByeZwolle
    24ByeAZ Alkmaar
    25AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    26ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    28ByeExcelsior
    32ByeAjax
    33WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    34ByeHardenberg
    36ByeOss
    40ByeUtrecht
    41USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    42ByeSpakenburg
    43ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    44TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    45RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    46SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    48ByeTwente
    49Willem IIBye
    52ByeDordrecht
    53Sparta RotterdamBye
    56ByeGroningen
    57Quick BoysBye
    60ByeFC Volendam
    61HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    62IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    63HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    64AWCASWH0 : 2
    65Den BoschBye
    68ByeDen Haag
    69KatwijkBye
    72ByeVitesse
    73PSVBye
    77ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    78ByeGVVV
    80ByeDe Graafschap
    81SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    82GemertHuizen2 : 1
    84ByeSittard
    85Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    86KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    88ByeAlmere City
    89HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    90Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    92ByeEindhoven FC
    93LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    94VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    96ByeTelstar
    97TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    98SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    99Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    100ByeBarendrecht
    101De TreffersBye
    102ByeRKAV Volendam
    104ByeMaastricht
    105EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    106EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    108ByeAFC
    109Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    112ByeNijmegen
    113VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    114ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    116ByeRoda
    120ByeG.A. Eagles
    121NAC BredaBye
    124ByeHeracles
    125De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    126HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    128ByeFC Emmen

    1/64-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    3VenloBye
    4ByeHeerenveen
    5HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    6HFCARC5 : 0
    7WaalwijkBye
    8ByeCambuur
    9HelmondBye
    10ByeZwolle
    12ByeAZ Alkmaar
    13HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    14ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    18ByeOss
    20ByeUtrecht
    21USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    22VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    23RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    24ByeTwente
    25Willem IIBye
    26ByeDordrecht
    27Sparta RotterdamBye
    28ByeGroningen
    29Quick BoysBye
    30ByeFC Volendam
    31Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    32HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    33Den BoschBye
    34ByeDen Haag
    35KatwijkBye
    36ByeVitesse
    37PSVBye
    39RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    40ByeDe Graafschap
    41MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    42ByeSittard
    43Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    44ByeAlmere City
    45HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    46ByeEindhoven FC
    47LisseUrk4 : 1
    48ByeTelstar
    49UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    50Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    51De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    52ByeMaastricht
    53EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    54ByeAFC
    55Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    56ByeNijmegen
    57CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    58ByeRoda
    60ByeG.A. Eagles
    61NAC BredaBye
    62ByeHeracles
    63VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    64ByeFC Emmen

    1/32-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    2VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    3HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    4WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2
    5HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    6ByeAZ Alkmaar
    7Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    8ByeAjax
    9HardenbergOss0 : 2
    10ByeUtrecht
    11SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    12RaalteTwente1 : 4
    13Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    14Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    15Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    16GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    17Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    18KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    19PSVBye
    20GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    21GemertSittard0 : 1
    22Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    23HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    24LisseTelstar0 : 5
    25SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    26De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    27EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    28Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    29CapelleRoda1 : 5
    30ByeG.A. Eagles
    31NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    32HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    2HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9
    3ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    4Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    5OssUtrecht0 : 2
    6SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    7Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    8FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    9Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    10PSVGVVV3 : 0
    11SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    12HoekTelstar1 : 4
    13SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    14AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    15RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    16HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HeerenveenWaalwijk
    2AZ AlkmaarAjax
    3UtrechtTwente
    4Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam
    5Den BoschPSV
    6Almere CityTelstar
    7De TreffersNijmegen
    8G.A. EaglesHeracles