Stevenage Borough vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.40
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (465/544)63% (160/252)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.890.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.77
Total shots
186
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2010
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
85% (465/544)63% (160/252)
Long passes
51% (31/61)25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
75% (124/165)56% (52/93)
Crosses
38% (10/26)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.54
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
1315
Tackles
60% (9/15)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6648
Clearances
2037
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.770.06
Goals prevented
-1.23-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Harper V. , Okeke J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Clarke C. , Jellis J. ,
  • 46', Campbell C. , Malcolm J. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Piergianni C. , Patterson P. (A),
  • 62', Comley B. , Warrington L. ,
  • 62', Roofe K. , Hollman J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Richards R. ,
  • 71', Lubala B. , Young J. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Richards R. ,
  • 74', Barrett C. , Maher R. ,
  • 76', Freestone L. 🟨,
  • 77', Thompson L. , Ahadme G. ,

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
42.1%
Draw
28.7%
Walsall
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 25.5% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.91)
    3.2
    (3.62)
    3.15
    (3.49)
    9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
    • In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Walsall is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Walsall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Stevenage is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Walsall were as follows:
    11.03.2023 Stevenage Borough - Walsall 3:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Walsall
    29.11.2025 Walsall - Bromley 3:1
    22.11.2025 Harrogate Town - Walsall 0:2
    08.11.2025 Newport County - Walsall 2:4
    02.11.2025 Eastleigh - Walsall 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2