Jagiellonia Białystok vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań
Result
3:0
25/05/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 34
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.16
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1414
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
812
Free Kicks
198
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
2024
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
818
Yellow Cards
33
Total Passes
445352
Completed Passes
331264
Attacks
98100
Dangerous Attacks
6673

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Nene , Pululu A. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Romanczuk T. , Wdowik B. (A),
  • 26', 3 - 0, Imaz J. , Marczuk D. (A),
  • 44', Zrelak A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Kopczynski M. , Luis M. ,
  • 60', Kupczak M. 🟨,
  • 61', Dieguez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Zrelak A. , Eppel M. ,
  • 62', Kielb J. , Szymonowicz D. ,
  • 67', Pululu A. , Caliskaner K. ,
  • 76', Sacek M. 🟨,
  • 77', Maenpaa N. , Savic S. ,
  • 79', Savic S. 🟨,
  • 81', Nene , Kubicki J. ,
  • 81', Imaz J. , Nguiamba A. ,
  • 84', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 86', Marczuk D. , Kupisz T. ,
  • 86', Hansen K. , Lewicki J. ,

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
65.7%
Draw
20%
Warta Poznań
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 22.5% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 22.8% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.46)
    4.66
    (4)
    6.63
    (5.6)
    7%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Warta will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 4.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Jagiellonia is certain favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Warta Poznań 2:0
    01.12.2023 Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2
    15.10.2022 Warta Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Radomiak Radom32109:367
    3Cracovia32108:357
    4Widzew Lodz32016:336
    5Gornik Zabrze32014:316
    6Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    7Termalica B-B31115:324
    8Legia21102:024
    9Pogon Szczecin31116:7-14
    10Rakow31023:5-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14Arka Gdynia30211:2-12
    15GKS Katowice30122:6-41
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk30126:8-2-4

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1