Result
5:0
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 6
- Referee: Lynch M. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/331) | 65% (195/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.80 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/331) | 65% (195/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (32/68) | 38% (34/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/143) | 48% (51/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Teahan R. ⚽, Horgan D. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, McDaid D. ⚽, Horgan D. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Voilas J. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 46', Barrett C. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
- 61', Lonergan T. ↓, Amond P. ↑,
- 61', McMenamy D. ↓, McLaughlin E. ↑,
- 74', Groome H. ↓, Dervin A. ↑,
- 85', Kearns C. ↓, Cherrie P. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, Horgan D. ⚽,
- 88', Mullen D. ↓, Arubi G. ↑,
- 89', McDaid D. ↓, Kenny E. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Kenny E. ⚽, Arubi G. (A),
- 90+4', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kilduff C. 🟨,
- 90+7', 5 - 0, Kenny E. ⚽, Dervin A. (A),
- 90+8', Teahan R. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
- 90+12', McLaughlin E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dundalk
53.8% | Draw
25.4% | Waterford
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundalk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dundalk - Waterford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.89) |
3.68 ↑
(3.57) |
4.49 ↑
(3.79) |
6.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dundalk - Waterford?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Waterford (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dundalk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Waterford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 0.
- In recent matches, Dundalk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Waterford has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Dundalk has had a series of away games.
- Dundalk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Animasahun M.
(Coach's decision)
- There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
Doherty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundalk: Leonard V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Waterford?
Dundalk has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Dundalk?
Waterford has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Waterford were as follows:
13.09.2024
Waterford
-
Dundalk
2:1
28.06.2024
Dundalk
-
Waterford
0:2
10.05.2024
Waterford
-
Dundalk
4:1
15.03.2024
Dundalk
-
Waterford
0:0
16.09.2022
Waterford
-
Dundalk
3:2
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of Waterford
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
