Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix
Result
3:2
18/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.36
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
87% (462/530)75% (227/304)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.381.91
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3518
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
810
Passes
87% (462/530)75% (227/304)
Long passes
43% (13/30)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
80% (115/144)61% (40/66)
Crosses
4% (1/23)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.82
Fouls
108
Tackles
70% (16/23)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5855
Clearances Total
2542
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.912.38
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Kikianis P. , Clough Z. (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Mauk S. , Alagich E. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 1, Barbarouses K. , Ishige H. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 2, Hughes I. , Payne T. (A),
  • 44', Payne T. 🟨,
  • 44', Mauk S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Kikianis P. 🟨,
  • 68', Clough Z. , Yull J. ,
  • 79', Kitto R. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 79', Dukuly Y. , Folami B. ,
  • 79', Kelly-Heald L. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 83', Ishige H. , Nagasawa K. ,
  • 85', Brooke-Smith L. 🟨,
  • 86', Barnett J. , Jovanovic L. ,
  • 89', 3 - 2, Goodwin A. ,
  • 90+3', Hughes I. , Walker N. ,
  • 90+3', Sheridan M. , Supyk L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
61.6%
Draw
19.3%
Wellington Phoenix
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 20.5% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 20.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.54)
    4.86
    (4.6)
    4.94
    (5.21)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 3.
    • Adelaide has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Wellington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Adelaide is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P. (Hamstring Injury) O'Neil B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Geraldes F. (Knee Injury) Kelly-Heald A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:23 (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 1:2
    02.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 3:2
    04.01.2024 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:2
    05.05.2023 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:0
    17.03.2023 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 5:1
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0