Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 6
  • Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.04
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
74% (277/376)74% (292/396)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.87
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
74% (277/376)74% (292/396)
Long passes
35% (18/51)16% (10/61)
Passes in final third
55% (71/129)41% (32/78)
Crosses
57% (8/14)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.76
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
1117
Tackles
67% (8/12)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
1711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.873.21
Goals prevented
-0.131.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Rufer A. , Nagasawa K. (A),
  • 41', Armiento C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Najjarine R. (Pen),
  • 60', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
  • 63', Edwards D. , Conchie F. ,
  • 72', Duzel L. , Ayoubi A. ,
  • 72', Goodwin C. , White R. ,
  • 72', Yull J. , Garuccio J. ,
  • 72', Armiento C. , Piper C. ,
  • 72', Najjarine R. , Loke T. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Garuccio J. , Alagich E. (A),
  • 80', Eze I. , Cassidy A. ,
  • 81', Madanha P. , Crawford H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
29.1%
Draw
25%
Adelaide United
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 25.8% 40.8%

Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.27
(2.77)
3.82
(3.58)
2.07
(2.26)
5.1%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Adelaide will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Retre P. (Abdominal strain) Walker N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Adelaide: Kwaaitaal J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 3:2
    10.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 1:2
    02.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 3:2
    04.01.2024 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:2
    05.05.2023 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:0
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney FC750214:5915
    2Brisbane Roar74218:3514
    3Auckland FC742110:6414
    4Melbourne City73319:5412
    5Perth Glory73137:10-310
    6Adelaide United730411:929
    7Wellington Phoenix72239:11-28
    8Central Coast Mariners72238:10-28
    9WS Wanderers72236:8-28
    10Macarthur FC72234:7-38
    11Newcastle Jets720511:16-56
    12Melbourne Victory71244:11-75

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)