Result
06/03/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
53.1% | Draw
22.6% | Wellington Phoenix
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+2%)
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.9) |
4.17 ↑
(3.68) |
3.86 ↑
(3.45) |
6.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wellington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Adelaide is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
10.01.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
2:2
28.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
2:1
18.04.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:2
10.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:2
02.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
3:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
