Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 12
  • Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
thailandThailandSPOTV 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.510.62
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
55
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Passes
83% (427/512)76% (240/317)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.510.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.751.10
Total shots
158
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
20
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
710
Passes
83% (427/512)76% (240/317)
Long passes
51% (19/37)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
68% (109/160)63% (40/64)
Crosses
38% (8/21)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.38
Throw ins
2819
Fouls
107
Tackles
67% (12/18)55% (16/29)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2036
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.102.75
Goals prevented
-0.900.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, White R. ⚽, Madanha P. (A),
  • 28', Piper C. 🟨,
  • 30', Kelly-Heald L. 🟨,
  • 40', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Duzel L. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kelly-Heald L. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
  • 55', Goodwin C. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Hughes I. ⚽, Najjarine R. (A),
  • 66', 2 - 2, Piper C. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
  • 66', Payne T. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
  • 72', Anselmo 🟨,
  • 79', Anselmo ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
  • 79', Muniz J. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
  • 82', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
35.9%		Draw
24.7%		Adelaide United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 26.2% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.1% 43.2%

Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.62 ↓
(2.86)		 3.79 ↑
(3.55)		 2.4 ↑
(2.24)		 6.3%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 56.3% – 87.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Wellington (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wellington Phoenix will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 12 - 80%). Adelaide (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Armiento C. (Red Card) Edwards D. (Inactive) Ishige H. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Oluwayemi J. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Supyk L. (Injury) Walker N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D. (Inactive) Vriends B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2:1
    18.04.2025 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 3:2
    10.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 1:2
    02.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 3:2
    04.01.2024 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:2
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 0:3 ✺
    29.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 3:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 1:3 ✺
    05.12.2025 Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    04.01.2026 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 0:4 ✺
    27.12.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar 0:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets16100637:28930
    2Auckland FC1684423:17628
    3Sydney FC1581622:15725
    4Macarthur FC1767424:23125
    5Melbourne Victory1672723:21223
    6Adelaide United1672726:26023
    7Melbourne City1757519:21-222
    8Brisbane Roar1763817:22-521
    9Perth Glory1662820:22-220
    10Central Coast Mariners1654721:24-319
    11Wellington Phoenix1654726:31-519
    12WS Wanderers1644813:21-816

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