Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 6
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (277/376) | 74% (292/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (277/376) | 74% (292/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 16% (10/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 41% (32/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Rufer A. ⚽, Nagasawa K. (A),
- 41', Armiento C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Najjarine R. (Pen),
- 60', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
- 63', Edwards D. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 72', Duzel L. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 72', Goodwin C. ↓, White R. ↑,
- 72', Yull J. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
- 72', Armiento C. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
- 72', Najjarine R. ↓, Loke T. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Garuccio J. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
- 80', Eze I. ↓, Cassidy A. ↑,
- 81', Madanha P. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix 29.1% | Draw 25% | Adelaide United 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (2.77) |
3.82 ↑ (3.58) |
2.07 ↓ (2.26) |
5.1% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Adelaide will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H.
(Injury)
Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Retre P.
(Abdominal strain)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Kwaaitaal J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
18.04.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:2
10.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:2
02.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
3:2
04.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:2
05.05.2023
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sydney FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Brisbane Roar | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Melbourne City | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | WS Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Macarthur FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Melbourne Victory | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)