Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 12
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/512) | 76% (240/317) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/512) | 76% (240/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/160) | 63% (40/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 55% (16/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, White R. ⚽, Madanha P. (A),
- 28', Piper C. 🟨,
- 30', Kelly-Heald L. 🟨,
- 40', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Duzel L. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kelly-Heald L. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 55', Goodwin C. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Hughes I. ⚽, Najjarine R. (A),
- 66', 2 - 2, Piper C. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
- 66', Payne T. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 72', Anselmo 🟨,
- 79', Anselmo ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 79', Muniz J. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
- 82', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
35.9% | Draw
24.7% | Adelaide United
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.86) |
3.79 ↑
(3.55) |
2.4 ↑
(2.24) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 56.3% – 87.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Wellington (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wellington Phoenix will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 4 - 80%). Adelaide (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Wellington: Armiento C.
(Red Card)
Edwards D.
(Inactive)
Ishige H.
(Injury)
Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
Oluwayemi J.
(Injury)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Supyk L.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D.
(Inactive)
Vriends B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
28.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
2:1
18.04.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:2
10.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:2
02.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
3:2
04.01.2024
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:2
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
