Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/12/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 7
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.730.57
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
239
Shots on target
132
Big Chances
143
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
73% (196/267)74% (214/289)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
4.730.57
xG on target (xGOT)
4.820.68
Total shots
239
Shots on target
132
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
187
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
143
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
73% (196/267)74% (214/289)
Long passes
43% (21/49)32% (14/44)
Passes in final third
68% (57/84)48% (29/60)
Crosses
43% (9/21)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.120.48
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1814
Tackles
53% (8/15)42% (8/19)
Duels won
6362
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
110
xGOT faced
0.684.82
Goals prevented
-0.321.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Brook L. , Rogerson L. (A),
  • 45', Cosgrove S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hughes I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Hughes I. , Piper C. ,
  • 46', James M. 🟥,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Rufer A. ,
  • 63', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 64', Cosgrove S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Eze I. 🟨,
  • 72', De Vries F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', 2 - 1, De Vries F. ,
  • 77', Brook L. , May G. ,
  • 77', Brimmer J. , Gallegos L. F. ,
  • 77', Edwards D. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 78', May G. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 1, May G. , Cosgrove S. (A),
  • 82', Cosgrove S. , Bidois J. ,
  • 86', Najjarine R. , Conchie F. ,
  • 87', Randall J. , Francois M. ,

Chances of winning


Auckland FC
61.9%
Draw
21.7%
Wellington Phoenix
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 20.1% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1% 19.2% 13.3%

Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.42)
4.32
(4.64)
5.81
(6.7)
5.9%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Auckland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Auckland is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Auckland: Sakai H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H. (Injury) Mileusnic N. (Injury) Payne T. (Inactive) Retre P. (Abdominal strain) Walker N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC 1:2
    21.02.2025 Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix 6:1
    06.12.2024 Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    02.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC 0:2
    Latest results of Auckland FC
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sydney FC750214:5915
    2Brisbane Roar74218:3514
    3Auckland FC742110:6414
    4Melbourne City73319:5412
    5Perth Glory73137:10-310
    6Adelaide United730411:929
    7Wellington Phoenix72239:11-28
    8Central Coast Mariners72238:10-28
    9WS Wanderers72236:8-28
    10Macarthur FC72234:7-38
    11Newcastle Jets720511:16-56
    12Melbourne Victory71244:11-75

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)