Result
0:5
20/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 18
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (171/279) | 69% (205/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (171/279) | 69% (205/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (10/51) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (38/84) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.81 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 20', Sakai H. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Oluwayemi J. (Own goal),
- 30', 0 - 2, Randall J. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
- 41', 0 - 3, May G. ⚽, Gallegos L. F. (A),
- 45+2', Eze I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Girdwood-Reich J. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 4, Randall J. ⚽, May G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Oluwayemi J. ↓, Kelly-Heald A. ↑,
- 58', Hughes I. 🟨,
- 60', Najjarine R. ↓, Piper C. ↑,
- 71', Sakai H. ↓, Brook L. ↑,
- 72', Howieson C. ↓, Brimmer J. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 5, Brook L. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
- 75', May G. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
- 75', Randall J. ↓, Ferguson B. ↑,
- 77', Nagasawa K. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 78', Retre P. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 82', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
- 87', Kartum S. 🟨,
- 90', Armiento C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
25.2% | Draw
24.9% | Auckland FC
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(4.28) |
3.8 ↑
(3.78) |
1.92 ↑
(1.71) |
5.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Auckland will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auckland is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Edwards D.
(Inactive)
Oluwayemi J.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Auckland: Cosgrove S.
(Yellow Cards)
Sail O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Eze I.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.8:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Auckland FC?
Wellington Phoenix has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auckland FC won against Wellington Phoenix?
Auckland FC has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC were as follows:
05.12.2025
Auckland FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:1
08.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Auckland FC
1:2
21.02.2025
Auckland FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
6:1
06.12.2024
Auckland FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
02.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Auckland FC
0:2
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Auckland FC
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
