Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix
Result
6:1
21/02/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 20
  • Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.03
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
2311
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
103
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Shots inside the Box
177
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
817
Offsides
10
Fouls
178
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2124
Touches in the Opposition Box
3913
Passes
82% (325/396)78% (262/334)
Passes in the final third
74% (97/131)64% (51/80)
Crosses
27% (7/26)7% (1/14)
Tackles
68% (17/25)54% (13/24)
Clearances Total
3024
Interceptions
114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', Pijnaker N. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Moreno N. , Mata M. A. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Moreno N. ,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Rogerson L. , Gallegos L. F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Kelly-Heald L. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 46', Conchie F. , Rufer A. ,
  • 46', Ishige H. , Walker N. ,
  • 46', Mata M. A. , Randall J. ,
  • 49', 3 - 1, Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 59', Piper C. 🟨,
  • 60', 4 - 1, Moreno N. ,
  • 62', Pijnaker N. , Elliot C. ,
  • 62', Moreno N. , Francois M. ,
  • 62', Gallegos L. F. , Verstraete L. ,
  • 73', Piper C. , Rojas M. ,
  • 80', 5 - 1, Rogerson L. , Verstraete L. (A),
  • 82', Brimmer J. , Howieson C. ,
  • 84', Howieson C. 🟨,
  • 87', Payne T. , Supyk L. ,
  • 88', Hughes I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 6 - 1, Randall J. , May G. (A),

Chances of winning


Auckland FC
65%
Draw
21.3%
Wellington Phoenix
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.3% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 22.4% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC's performance.
  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.59)
    4.38
    (4.03)
    6.97
    (5.36)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • Auckland in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Wellington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Auckland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Auckland is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Auckland: Hall D. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Rojas M. (Injury) Sutton S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Wellington: Sloane-Rodrigues G. (Knock)
    • Our prediction for today's Auckland to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Auckland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Auckland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    02.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC 0:2
    Latest results of Auckland FC
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0