Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CommBank Stadium (Sydney).

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 19
Referee: Ghirardello G. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.93
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
75% (296/395)	81% (405/501)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.29
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
10	8
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
9	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
75% (296/395)	81% (405/501)
Long passes
51% (26/51)	37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
62% (77/124)	64% (83/129)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	50% (7/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.96
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
62% (18/29)	64% (16/25)
Duels won
47	55
Clearances Total
9	26
Interceptions
7	23
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.29	0.31
Goals prevented
0.29	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Matos D. (Own goal),
37', Gielnik E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caspers H. ↓, Harding S. ↑,
58', Jancevski A. 🟨,
73', Gielnik E. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
77', Harrison A. ↓, Stajcic A. ↑,
78', Chessari A. 🟨,
83', Trew B. ↓, Kapetanellis T. ↑,
90+3', Lowe R. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Western Sydney Wanderers
16.7%

Draw
20.8%

Melbourne Victory
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.8%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.2%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (5.76)	4.42 ↓ (4.63)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)	8.8% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches WS Wanderers won 1.
Recent matches WS Wanderers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Melbourne Victory is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
WS Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches WS Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:31 (average 1.1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams WS Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Melbourne Victory?

Western Sydney Wanderers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory were as follows:

05.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 4:4

16.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 4:0

30.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 2:0

03.02.2023 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:1

18.01.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 0:0

Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers

28.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Sydney FC 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

29.03.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺

21.03.2025 Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets 4:3 ✺

09.03.2025 Melbourne Victory - Canberra United 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Western United - Melbourne Victory 1:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 2:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Melbourne Victory W (2)	Bye
2	Adelaide W (3)	Western United W (6)	1 : 0
3	Melbourne City W (1)	Bye
4	Central Coast Mariners W (4)	Canberra W (5)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Melbourne Victory W (2)	Adelaide W (3)	3 : 1, 3 : 1
2	Melbourne City W (1)	Central Coast Mariners W (4)	0 : 1, 2 : 2

Final

1

Melbourne Victory W (2)

Central Coast Mariners W (4)

1 : 2