Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.87
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
51
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
51
Passes
73% (284/387)75% (315/418)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.10
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
1111
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
158
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free kicks
812
Passes
73% (284/387)75% (315/418)
Long passes
33% (15/46)52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
52% (62/120)63% (63/100)
Crosses
54% (7/13)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.13
Throw ins
3123
Fouls
128
Tackles
85% (11/13)86% (18/21)
Duels won
2246
Clearances
1320
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.101.07
Goals prevented
0.100.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Furphy H. ,
  • 61', Fazzari N. , Ng-Saad A. ,
  • 65', Furphy H. 🟨,
  • 66', Pollicina R. , Jancevski A. ,
  • 70', Chessari A. 🟨,
  • 74', Chessari A. , Harada E. ,
  • 74', Younis T. , Zumaya M. ,
  • 82', Hooks P. , Rue C. ,
  • 83', Lowe R. , Maher G. ,
  • 89', Furphy H. , O'Grady E. ,

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
64.1%
Draw
20.8%
Western Sydney Wanderers
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 21.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 21.3% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.46)
    4.41
    (4.21)
    6.06
    (5.67)
    9.3%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 1:4
    06.04.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 0:1
    05.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 4:4
    16.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 4:0
    30.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 2:0
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

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