Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 20
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Premier League |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (343/413) | 80% (261/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (343/413) | 80% (261/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (120/166) | 68% (59/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Kraev B. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
- 54', Cancar P. 🟨,
- 69', Dobson W. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 69', Cancar P. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
- 76', Scicluna D. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Natta M. ⚽,
- 79', Kraev B. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
- 79', Pantazopoulos A. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
- 79', Borrello B. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
- 84', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 84', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 85', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 89', Bayliss L. ↓, Aquilina T. ↑,
- 89', Burgess M. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
43.1% | Draw
23.5% | Western Sydney Wanderers
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.85) |
4.03 ↑
(3.68) |
2.84 ↓
(3.62) |
5.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle Jets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
- Newcastle has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Western Sydney has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Clough Z.
(Groin Injury)
Cockle O.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Adams E.
(Face Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Newcastle Jets?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
17.01.2026
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Newcastle Jets
1:2
26.04.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
0:1
08.11.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Newcastle Jets
4:1
11.02.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Newcastle Jets
3:3
05.11.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:2
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:36 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29:32 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
