Result
3:2
17/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/325) | 82% (282/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (253/325) | 82% (282/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 63% (70/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bergier S. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, Therkildsen P. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Baro R. ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
- 45+1', Donis C. 🟨,
- 45+6', Zyro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Shehu J. 🟨,
- 66', Shehu J. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
- 66', Bergier S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
- 67', Capita ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 67', Tapsoba A. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Selahi L. ⚽,
- 72', Donis C. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 72', Baro R. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 78', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
- 79', Wolski R. 🟨,
- 82', Zie Ouattara ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 85', Alvarez F. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
- 85', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Maurides ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
Chances of winning
Widzew Łódź
54.2% | Draw
24.8% | Radomiak Radom
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.8) |
3.92 ↑
(3.74) |
4.8 ↑
(4.05) |
3.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Radomiak (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Widzew Łódź will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Widzew Łódź will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Widzew (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Radomiak (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Widzew is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Widzew: Hanousek Mar.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Radomiak Radom?
Widzew Łódź has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Widzew Łódź?
Radomiak Radom has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
28.02.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Widzew Łódź
1:1
23.08.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Radomiak Radom
3:2
25.05.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Widzew Łódź
1:3
02.12.2023
Widzew Łódź
-
Radomiak Radom
0:3
21.05.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Widzew Łódź
3:1
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
