Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
27% | 73% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
66% (149/225) | 88% (564/640) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.19 | 1.51 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
66% (149/225) | 88% (564/640) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (18/54) | 42% (21/50) |
Passes in final third |
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51% (28/55) | 79% (165/210) |
Crosses |
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29% (5/17) | 10% (2/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 1.20 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 32 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 6 |
Tackles |
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59% (10/17) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.51 | 0.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.49 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Ng P. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
- 33', Smith M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Trevitt R. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
- 64', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 64', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 65', Mullin P. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
- 65', Wright C. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
- 74', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 75', Chambers C. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
- 82', Saydee C. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
- 83', Aimson W. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 88', Willock C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Fox M. 🟥,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Salech Y. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Wigan Athletic 35.6% | Draw 28.1% | Cardiff City 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↓ (2.68) |
3.36 ↓ (3.47) |
2.61 ↑ (2.48) |
5.7% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.
- Wigan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cardiff is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wigan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Carragher J.
(Surgery)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Miller K. L.
(Inactive)
Sze C.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Francois T.
(Injury)
Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Inactive)
Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Cardiff City?
Wigan Athletic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Wigan Athletic?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City were as follows:
14.01.2023
Cardiff City
-
Wigan Athletic
1:1
08.10.2022
Wigan Athletic
-
Cardiff City
1:3
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two