Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 82% | 18% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (658/732) | 60% (100/166) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (658/732) | 60% (100/166) |
| Long passes |
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| 58% (26/45) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (263/321) | 50% (22/44) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (7/38) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 36 |
| Clearances |
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| 12 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.21 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.21 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Chambers C. ⚽, Bagan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Brenan T. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
- 72', Kellyman O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 73', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
- 82', Costelloe D. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
- 84', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 90+4', Wright C. ↓, Bettoni H. ↑,
- 90+4', Weir J. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
56.6% | Draw
24.5% | Wigan Athletic
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2.05) |
3.81 ↑
(3.23) |
4.94 ↑
(3.43) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Cardiff (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Personal Reasons)
Colwill R.
(Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Kerr J.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Wigan Athletic?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Cardiff City?
Wigan Athletic has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
27.09.2025
Wigan Athletic
-
Cardiff City
0:2
14.01.2023
Cardiff City
-
Wigan Athletic
1:1
08.10.2022
Wigan Athletic
-
Cardiff City
1:3
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
