Jong PSV vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 14
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.79
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2317
Shots on target
116
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
83% (337/405)78% (301/388)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.14
Total shots
2317
Shots on target
116
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
3531
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
83% (337/405)78% (301/388)
Long passes
51% (25/49)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)68% (71/105)
Crosses
23% (3/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.25
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1011
Tackles
62% (8/13)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2123
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
510
xGOT faced
1.141.66
Goals prevented
0.14-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Verkooijen N. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, El Allouchi M. , Hoogma J. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Thomas A. , Bresser M. (A),
  • 45', Hoogma J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Bamba S. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 57', van Aalst U. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 70', El Allouchi M. , Zarrouk A. ,
  • 70', Doodeman N. , Culum A. ,
  • 71', Verkooijen N. , Koller J. ,
  • 79', Abed T. , Kluit F. ,
  • 79', van der Plas S. , Monamay M. ,
  • 83', Thomas A. 🟨,
  • 85', Besselink G. , van Loon P. ,
  • 88', Thomas A. , Bouhamdi A. ,
  • 88', van den Berg J. , Sidibe S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong PSV
34.8%
Draw
23.7%
Willem II
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 24.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 23.8% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Jong PSV - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.43)
    3.9
    (3.81)
    2.25
    (2.43)
    8.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Jong PSV (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Jong PSV (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 3 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
    • Jong PSV is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Willem II were as follows:
    29.01.2024 Jong PSV - Willem II 1:1
    27.10.2023 Willem II - Jong PSV 3:0
    30.01.2023 Jong PSV - Willem II 3:2
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    20.10.2025 Jong PSV - ADO Den Haag 0:3
    17.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Jong PSV 2:2
    03.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong PSV 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    30.10.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 7:0
    26.10.2025 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:2
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Willem II - Roda 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 32242672:314174
    2Cambuur31217363:333070
    3De Graafschap31157958:49952
    4Willem II31148945:38750
    5Jong PSV321551262:56650
    6Almere City321541366:531349
    7Waalwijk321391054:47748
    8Roda321211950:47347
    9Dordrecht3211101143:43043
    10Den Bosch321271355:57-243
    11Eindhoven FC311241545:55-1040
    12Venlo321141739:49-1037
    13FC Emmen301061446:54-836
    14Jong Utrecht32991448:54-636
    15Maastricht32991439:61-2236
    16Vitesse321291149:49033
    17Helmond32961737:56-1933
    18Jong Ajax32881645:57-1232
    19Jong AZ32941953:63-1031
    20Oss326111539:56-1729

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie