Willem II vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 34
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.060.72
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
82
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
38
Passes
79% (255/321)90% (491/545)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.060.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.410.80
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
149
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
12
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
129
Passes
79% (255/321)90% (491/545)
Long passes
53% (33/62)72% (33/46)
Passes in final third
68% (61/90)81% (113/139)
Crosses
33% (4/12)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.98
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
912
Tackles
54% (7/13)93% (13/14)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
2313
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
0.801.41
Goals prevented
0.800.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Verheydt T. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', El Allouchi M. 🟨,
  • 67', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
  • 67', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
  • 67', van der Plas S. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
  • 69', Scheepens K. 🟨,
  • 74', Monamay M. 🟨,
  • 75', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
  • 79', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
  • 79', Bahaty M. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
  • 82', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
  • 88', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
  • 88', Haen D. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
60.1%		Draw
20.8%		Jong PSV
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 19.2% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 18.7% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Willem II - Jong PSV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.56 ↑
    (1.52)    		 4.5 ↓
    (4.86)    		 4.88 ↑
    (4.7)    		 6.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Willem II - Jong PSV?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Willem II will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
    • Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong PSV's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Willem II is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Twigt C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Jong PSV: van den Berg J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Jong PSV were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Jong PSV - Willem II 2:1
    29.01.2024 Jong PSV - Willem II 1:1
    27.10.2023 Willem II - Jong PSV 3:0
    30.01.2023 Jong PSV - Willem II 3:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    28.03.2026 Willem II - De Graafschap 0:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 0:5 ✺
    13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3 ✺
    08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Emmen - Willem II 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    20.03.2026 Jong PSV - Vitesse 0:2 ✺
    16.03.2026 Den Bosch - Jong PSV 1:0 ✺
    13.03.2026 Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven 1:2 ✺
    06.03.2026 Roda - Jong PSV 0:2 ✺
    27.02.2026 Jong PSV - Dordrecht 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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