Result
2:1
03/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 14
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/405) | 78% (301/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (337/405) | 78% (301/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 42% (31/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (122/162) | 68% (71/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Verkooijen N. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, El Allouchi M. ⚽, Hoogma J. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Thomas A. ⚽, Bresser M. (A),
- 45', Hoogma J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Bamba S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
- 57', van Aalst U. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 70', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 70', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 71', Verkooijen N. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
- 79', Abed T. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
- 79', van der Plas S. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
- 83', Thomas A. 🟨,
- 85', Besselink G. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 88', Thomas A. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
- 88', van den Berg J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
34.8% | Draw
23.7% | Willem II
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Jong PSV - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.43) |
3.9 ↑
(3.81) |
2.25 ↓
(2.43) |
8.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Jong PSV (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Jong PSV (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 3 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
- Jong PSV is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Willem II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Willem II?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong PSV?
Willem II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Willem II were as follows:
29.01.2024
Jong PSV
-
Willem II
1:1
27.10.2023
Willem II
-
Jong PSV
3:0
30.01.2023
Jong PSV
-
Willem II
3:2
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
