Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 1.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (351/432) | 80% (321/403) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 1.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (351/432) | 80% (321/403) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/56) | 42% (26/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (87/129) | 64% (47/74) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 29% (7/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
28 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
- 53', Djalo M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 62', Nastic B. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 62', Sekulski L. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
- 69', Oliveira J. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 69', Kerk S. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
- 71', Nowak W. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 71', Custovic K. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
- 76', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 76', Salvador I. 🟨,
- 78', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 80', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 90+2', Vitalucci H. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia 36% | Draw 29.2% | Wisła Płock 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.62 ↑ (2.11) |
3.24 ↓ (3.48) |
2.73 ↓ (3.24) |
5.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
- Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wisła Płock is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Gojny D.
(Inactive)
Jakubczyk K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Wieckowski M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Wisła Płock?
Arka Gdynia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Arka Gdynia?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock were as follows:
12.05.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Arka Gdynia
1:0
02.11.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Wisła Płock
2:0
21.04.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Wisła Płock
2:0
07.10.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Arka Gdynia
0:3
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1