Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/432) | 80% (321/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/432) | 80% (321/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (87/129) | 64% (47/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ⚽, Navarro M. (A),
- 53', Djalo M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 62', Nastic B. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 62', Sekulski L. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
- 69', Oliveira J. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 69', Kerk S. ↓, Vitalucci H. ↑,
- 71', Nowak W. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 71', Custovic K. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
- 76', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 76', Salvador I. 🟨,
- 78', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 80', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 90+2', Vitalucci H. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
36% | Draw
29.2% | Wisła Płock
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.11) |
3.24 ↓
(3.48) |
2.73 ↓
(3.24) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Arka (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Wisła Płock (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Wisła Płock (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Wisła Płock (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 3.
- Arka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wisła Płock is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Gojny D.
(Inactive)
Jakubczyk K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Wieckowski M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arka won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Wisła Płock?
Arka Gdynia has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Arka Gdynia?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock were as follows:
12.05.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Arka Gdynia
1:0
02.11.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Wisła Płock
2:0
21.04.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Wisła Płock
2:0
07.10.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Arka Gdynia
0:3
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
