Wrexham vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+, STV, STV Player, UTV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.89
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
82% (371/450)83% (368/441)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.872.70
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1628
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
129
Passes
82% (371/450)83% (368/441)
Long passes
48% (35/73)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
69% (67/97)75% (118/157)
Crosses
18% (3/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.87
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
912
Tackles
58% (11/19)40% (4/10)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
3720
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.700.87
Goals prevented
0.70-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Salech Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kellyman O. , Davies I. ,
  • 46', Broadhead N. , Windass J. ,
  • 46', Rathbone O. , James M. ,
  • 46', Smith S. , Moore K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Moore K. ,
  • 54', Bagan J. 🟨,
  • 56', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 66', Wintle R. , Robertson A. ,
  • 66', Colwill J. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Fish W. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 77', Coady C. , Hardie R. ,
  • 77', Barnett R. , Kabore I. ,
  • 82', Bagan J. , Ng P. ,
  • 88', Ashford C. , Osho G. ,
  • 90+2', Robertson A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
41.5%
Draw
28.2%
Cardiff City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.5% 28.9%

Wrexham - Cardiff City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.29
(2.22)
3.38
(3.21)
3.14
(3.1)
5.2%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.
    • Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Lee E. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Injury) Rathbone O. (Inactive) Sheaf B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    25.10.2025 Middlesbrough - Wrexham 1:1
    22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    18.10.2025 Cardiff City - Reading 2:1
    11.10.2025 Barnsley - Cardiff City Postponed
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaArsenal
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2