Result
0:2
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/485) | 82% (295/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/485) | 82% (295/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 65% (56/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Osho G. 🟥,
- 45+2', Robertson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Henderson E. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
- 57', Lowe N. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
- 62', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 63', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 63', Kellyman O. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 71', Harris L. ↓, Vidigal A. ↑,
- 71', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 1, Vidigal A. ⚽, Morley A. (A),
- 80', Vidigal A. 🟨,
- 83', Colwill J. 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 2, Woodrow C. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
- 85', Lawlor D. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 90+3', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
56.3% | Draw
23.7% | Wycombe Wanderers
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
3.95 ↑
(3.55) |
4.68 ↑
(3.64) |
6.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wycombe: Casey D.
(Inactive)
Lowry A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Wycombe Wanderers?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wycombe Wanderers won against Cardiff City?
Wycombe Wanderers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
01.01.2026
Wycombe Wanderers
-
Cardiff City
1:1
29.07.2023
Wycombe Wanderers
-
Cardiff City
0:0
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
