Cardiff City vs Wycombe Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.402.01
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
34
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
85
Passes
85% (414/485)82% (295/360)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.402.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.36
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
87
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
105
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3125
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free kicks
98
Passes
85% (414/485)82% (295/360)
Long passes
50% (23/46)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
77% (136/176)65% (56/86)
Crosses
29% (6/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.76
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
89
Tackles
58% (7/12)38% (5/13)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.360.73
Goals prevented
-0.640.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Osho G. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Henderson E. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 57', Lowe N. , Woodrow C. ,
  • 62', Robertson A. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 63', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 63', Kellyman O. , Colwill J. ,
  • 71', Harris L. , Vidigal A. ,
  • 71', Bagan J. , Scanlon C. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Vidigal A. , Morley A. (A),
  • 80', Vidigal A. 🟨,
  • 83', Colwill J. 🟨,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Woodrow C. , Taylor C. (A),
  • 85', Lawlor D. , Robinson C. ,
  • 90+3', Boyd-Munce C. , Leahy L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
56.3%
Draw
23.7%
Wycombe Wanderers
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.9% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 27.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.88)
    3.95
    (3.55)
    4.68
    (3.64)
    6.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive) King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Casey D. (Inactive) Lowry A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:1
    29.07.2023 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 0:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship