Result
1:0
18/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 🟨,
- 25', Silva D. ↓, Lobos N. ↑,
- 35', Perez Ochoa C. A. ↓, Torres Chavez V. G. ↑,
- 45+1', de Leon F. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, de Leon F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Quinonez O. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
- 46', Morales G. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
- 46', Trigueno J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 62', de Leon F. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
- 62', Escobar J. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
- 70', Andrade N. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
- 74', Quiros D. 🟨,
- 83', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malacateco
46.7% | Draw
30% | Xelajú
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malacateco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Malacateco - Xelajú Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.77) |
3.04 ↓
(3.23) |
3.91 ↓
(4.36) |
9.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Malacateco - Xelajú?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2.
- Malacateco is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Xelajú has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Xelajú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Malacateco is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Xelajú?
Malacateco has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Malacateco?
Xelajú has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Xelajú were as follows:
28.09.2025
Xelajú
-
Malacateco
3:0
19.07.2025
Malacateco
-
Xelajú
0:1
15.03.2025
Xelajú
-
Malacateco
2:1
29.01.2025
Malacateco
-
Xelajú
2:1
01.11.2024
Malacateco
-
Xelajú
1:0
Latest results of Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xelaju | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Municipal | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Antigua | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:18 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
