Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Astanov E. ⚽, Everton (A),
- 24', Odeoyibo S. 🟨,
- 29', Astanov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Berezkin E. ↓, Tyulyubay A. ↑,
- 56', Joao Paulino ↓, Zhumabek A. ↑,
- 57', Everton ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 61', Payruz Z. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
- 62', Placca F. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
- 63', Zhumakhanov A. 🟨,
- 66', Astanov E. ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
- 75', Alan Dias ↓, Maliy S. ↑,
- 76', Capatina M. ↓, Canadjija D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Orazov R. ⚽, Zhumakhanov A. (A),
- 90', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Murtazaev R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Yelimay Semey
39.3% | Draw
26.7% | Ordabasy
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yelimay Semey's form might have worsened.Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.09) |
3.55 ↑
(3.36) |
2.78 ↓
(3.31) |
5.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
- Yelimay is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ordabasy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Yelimay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Yelimay Semey won against Ordabasy?
Yelimay Semey has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Yelimay Semey?
Ordabasy has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy were as follows:
15.06.2025
Ordabasy
-
Yelimay Semey
1:1
10.11.2024
Ordabasy
-
Yelimay Semey
2:1
06.07.2024
Ordabasy
-
Yelimay Semey
2:2
28.04.2024
Yelimay Semey
-
Ordabasy
1:1
Latest results of Yelimay Semey
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:23 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22:54 | -32 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
