Yelimay Semey vs Ordabasy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
84
Corner Kicks
76
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
34
Corner Kicks
76
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1613
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
917

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Astanov E. , Everton (A),
  • 24', Odeoyibo S. 🟨,
  • 29', Astanov S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Berezkin E. , Tyulyubay A. ,
  • 56', Joao Paulino , Zhumabek A. ,
  • 57', Everton , Naumets V. ,
  • 61', Payruz Z. , Bakhtiyarov A. ,
  • 62', Placca F. , Murtazaev R. ,
  • 63', Zhumakhanov A. 🟨,
  • 66', Astanov E. , Sultaniyazov Z. ,
  • 75', Alan Dias , Maliy S. ,
  • 76', Capatina M. , Canadjija D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Orazov R. , Zhumakhanov A. (A),
  • 90', Tyulyubay A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Murtazaev R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Yelimay Semey
39.3%
Draw
26.7%
Ordabasy
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27.6% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 27.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yelimay Semey's form might have worsened.
  • Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.09)
    3.55
    (3.36)
    2.78
    (3.31)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
    • Yelimay is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ordabasy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Yelimay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    10.11.2024 Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey 2:1
    06.07.2024 Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey 2:2
    28.04.2024 Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy 1:1
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    14.09.2025 Astana - Yelimay Semey 3:3
    23.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar 2:0
    16.08.2025 Kairat - Yelimay Semey 2:3
    10.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Aktobe 2:1
    02.08.2025 Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    Latest results of Ordabasy
    24.09.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy 1:0
    13.09.2025 Ordabasy - Zhenis 2:1
    28.08.2025 Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar 1:0
    24.08.2025 Ulytau - Ordabasy 2:1
    17.08.2025 Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay 2:3
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty25184352:183458
    2FC Astana25175365:293656
    3Tobol ✔ 25165443:232053
    4Yelimay Semey25136644:291545
    5Aktobe25133937:271042
    6Zhenis25811635:28735
    7Ordabasy2597935:26934
    8Okzhetpes25951133:40-732
    9Kyzylzhar25591124:32-824
    10Ulytau25571318:39-2122
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda253121022:40-1821
    12Zhetysu Taldykorgan25491219:42-2321
    13Atyrau25471420:42-2219
    14Turan25441722:54-3216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )