Result
2:1
24/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Allahverdiyev I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 0, Allahverdiyev I. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 1, Mardok K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Baku Sporting
35.7% | Draw
30.2% | Zagatala
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.Zagatala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zagatala's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baku Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagatala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baku Sporting - Zagatala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.02) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
2.65 ↓
(3.45) |
10.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baku Sporting - Zagatala?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Zagatala (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Zagatala (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagatala (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Baku Sporting won against Zagatala?
Baku Sporting has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagatala won against Baku Sporting?
Zagatala has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baku Sporting - Zagatala were as follows:
02.10.2025
Zagatala
-
Baku Sporting
1:1
10.04.2025
Zagatala
-
Baku Sporting
6:1
07.02.2025
Baku Sporting
-
Zagatala
0:0
18.10.2024
Zagatala
-
Baku Sporting
2:0
Latest results of Baku Sporting
Latest results of Zagatala
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku ✔ | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 50:19 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | Sabail | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 48:23 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Baku Sporting | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:36 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 24 |
| 9 | Shimal | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:57 | -38 | 16 |
| 10 | Difai Agsu | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Safa Baku is Qualified for Premier League
