Result
4:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (238/315) | 84% (411/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (238/315) | 84% (411/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 68% (102/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Radwanski A. ⚽, Corluka J. (A),
- 7', 2 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
- 26', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 0, Nalepa M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
- 36', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 44', 4 - 0, Radwanski A. ⚽, Rocha L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Abramowicz D. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 46', Sidibe A. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
- 46', Celestine J. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
- 46', Szysz P. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 58', Kerk S. 🟨,
- 67', Regula M. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 67', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 78', Lawniczak A. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
- 78', Radwanski A. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
- 81', Nguiamba A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 89', Szmyt K. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
59.4% | Draw
24.2% | Arka Gdynia
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Lubin's performance.Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie Lubin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.05) |
4.91 ↑
(3.47) |
7.65 ↑
(3.41) |
-12.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Zagłębie Lubin (2.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zagłębie Lubin will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Arka (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Arka: Gojny D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Arka Gdynia?
Zagłębie Lubin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Arka Gdynia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
