Zagłębie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia
Result
4:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 10
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.44
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
76% (238/315)84% (411/491)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.04
Total shots
99
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
76% (238/315)84% (411/491)
Long passes
50% (28/56)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
50% (33/66)68% (102/150)
Crosses
50% (5/10)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.90
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
1516
Tackles
50% (7/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5646
Clearances
3414
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.042.58
Goals prevented
-0.96-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Radwanski A. , Corluka J. (A),
  • 7', 2 - 0, Rocha L. , Szmyt K. (A),
  • 26', Nguiamba A. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Nalepa M. , Radwanski A. (A),
  • 36', Celestine J. 🟨,
  • 44', 4 - 0, Radwanski A. , Rocha L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Abramowicz D. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 46', Sidibe A. , Kerk S. ,
  • 46', Celestine J. , Hermoso K. ,
  • 46', Szysz P. , Rusyn N. ,
  • 58', Kerk S. 🟨,
  • 67', Regula M. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 67', Rocha L. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 78', Lawniczak A. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 78', Radwanski A. , Dziewiatowski M. ,
  • 81', Nguiamba A. , Perea L. ,
  • 89', Szmyt K. , Sypek J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
59.4%
Draw
24.2%
Arka Gdynia
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 26% 26.4%

Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(2.05)
4.91
(3.47)
7.65
(3.41)
-12.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 59.8%94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zagłębie Lubin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Arka: Gojny D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1382321:111026
    2Jagiellonia1273224:15924
    3Wisla Plock1264216:9722
    4Cracovia1263321:14721
    5Korona Kielce1455416:12420
    6Lech Poznan1255220:18220
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Rakow1252514:16-217
    9Pogon Szczecin1352620:23-317
    10GKS Katowice1452720:24-417
    11Legia1244414:12216
    12Radomiak Radom1344523:23016
    13Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    14Arka Gdynia134369:20-1115
    15Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    16Lechia Gdansk1343622:29-710
    17Termalica B-B1424817:28-1110
    18Piast Gliwice1215610:15-58

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1