Zamora vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
118
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ruiz E. ,
  • 32', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
  • 37', Campabadal E. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Campabadal E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Kike ,
  • 64', Ramos C. , Carbonell J. ,
  • 64', Granero B. , El Arbaoui Y. ,
  • 64', Kike , Lozano M. ,
  • 72', Isi Ros , Cayarga B. ,
  • 75', Garcia M. , Claveria P. ,
  • 79', Campabadal E. , Ortega G. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Ortega G. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 3, Cueto J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zamora
52.7%
Draw
28.9%
Real Avilés
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.9% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 28.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Zamora - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.05)
    3.21
    (3.29)
    5.12
    (3.34)
    5.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Zamora - Real Avilés?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Avilés will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real Avilés (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Avilés is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zamora is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Real Avilés were as follows:
    24.03.2024 Real Avilés - Zamora 0:1
    12.11.2023 Zamora - Real Avilés 1:0
    07.05.2023 Real Avilés - Zamora 2:1
    08.01.2023 Zamora - Real Avilés 1:1
    Latest results of Zamora
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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