Zamora vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Zamora - Real Avilés
12/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Zamora
57.9%
Draw
26.2%
Real Avilés
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.9% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 28.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Zamora - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (2.05)
    3.55
    (3.29)
    5.88
    (3.34)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Zamora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Avilés is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Zamora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zamora is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Real Avilés were as follows:
    24.03.2024 Real Avilés - Zamora 0:1
    12.11.2023 Zamora - Real Avilés 1:0
    07.05.2023 Real Avilés - Zamora 2:1
    08.01.2023 Zamora - Real Avilés 1:1
    Latest results of Zamora
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation