Zaragoza vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
25/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.291.29
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
03
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
313
Passes
67% (161/242)88% (468/534)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.291.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.84
Total shots
613
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
310
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
1036
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free kicks
148
Passes
67% (161/242)88% (468/534)
Long passes
48% (29/61)46% (18/39)
Passes in final third
55% (41/74)81% (158/195)
Crosses
11% (1/9)21% (8/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.53
Throw ins
1219
Fouls
814
Tackles
50% (10/20)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5031
Clearances
3411
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
0.840.00
Goals prevented
0.840.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Tasende D. 🟨,
  • 37', Calatrava A. 🟨,
  • 41', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valery , Cuenca M. A. ,
  • 46', Gomes A. , Tachi ,
  • 46', Tasende D. , Sebastian J. ,
  • 50', Sebastian J. 🟨,
  • 59', Mabil A. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 63', Bare K. 🟨,
  • 73', Kodro K. , Gomez D. ,
  • 74', Jakobsen A. , Camara O. ,
  • 74', Alcazar L. , Suero I. ,
  • 74', Cipenga B. , De Nipoti T. ,
  • 84', Barri , Garcia A. ,
  • 85', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 90', Cuenca M. A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Guti R. , Aguirregabiria M. ,
  • 90+5', Camara O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zaragoza
26.2%
Draw
27%
Castellón
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 26.1% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.3% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Zaragoza - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (3.7)
    3.5
    (3.62)
    2.02
    (1.95)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Recent performances by Zaragoza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Castellón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Zaragoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Radovanovic A. (Knock) Sans P. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zaragoza - Castellón were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    30.05.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 4:1
    26.10.2024 Zaragoza - Castellón 1:2
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    17.01.2026 Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B 1:1
    04.01.2026 Zaragoza - Las Palmas 1:2
    21.12.2025 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:1
    13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2
    Latest results of Castellón
    16.01.2026 Castellón - Leganés 2:0
    11.01.2026 Granada - Castellón 0:0
    03.01.2026 Castellón - Huesca 4:1
    21.12.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 2:0
    15.12.2025 Castellón - Mirandés 3:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation