Castellón vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Zaragoza
Result
4:1
30/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 42
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.66
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
77% (282/366)80% (344/431)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.781.26
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
517
Passes
77% (282/366)80% (344/431)
Long passes
39% (22/56)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)62% (80/129)
Crosses
50% (7/14)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.36
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
175
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3051
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
1416
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.262.78
Goals prevented
-0.04-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. , Calatrava A. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. , Lottin A. (A),
  • 20', Moyita S. 🟨,
  • 29', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Moyita S. , Mabil A. (A),
  • 45+4', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 4 - 0, Calatrava A. , Mabil A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Camara O. 🟨,
  • 54', Calatrava A. , de Miguel J. ,
  • 54', Moyita S. , Calavera J. ,
  • 54', Jimenez A. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 59', Clemente E. , Liso A. ,
  • 59', Guti R. , Sans P. ,
  • 59', Bazdar S. , Gomez D. ,
  • 64', 4 - 1, Gomez D. (Pen),
  • 70', Calero I. , Luna M. ,
  • 75', Sans P. , Pinilla H. ,
  • 76', Camara O. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 84', Abedzadeh A. , Crettaz G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc7w2n5p

Chances of winning


Castellón
49%
Draw
24.1%
Zaragoza
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26.9% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Castellón - Zaragoza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.12)
    3.91
    (3.51)
    3.47
    (3.28)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Castellón - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 52.6%89%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Chirino D. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Willems J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Lopez L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Moyita S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Zaragoza were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Zaragoza - Castellón 1:2
    Latest results of Castellón
    25.05.2025 Granada - Castellón 2:1
    18.05.2025 Castellón - Eldense 1:1
    10.05.2025 Mirandés - Castellón 3:2
    27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    18.05.2025 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0
    10.05.2025 Zaragoza - Cartagena 3:2
    04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2
    27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Gijon22003:126
    3Eibar21104:134
    4Cadiz CF21102:114
    5Huesca21102:114
    6Burgos CF11005:143
    7Racing Santander11003:123
    8Dep. La Coruna11003:123
    9Real Sociedad B11001:013
    10Leganes20202:202
    11Albacete10104:401
    12Almeria10104:401
    13Las Palmas10101:101
    14Malaga10101:101
    15Andorra10101:101
    16Cordoba10011:2-10
    17Zaragoza10010:1-10
    18Mirandes20020:2-20
    19Castellon20021:4-30
    20Cultural Leonesa10011:5-40
    21Ceuta20020:4-40
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

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