Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 3
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (481/542) | 85% (304/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (481/542) | 85% (304/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (42/61) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (146/180) | 75% (69/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Alerrandro ⚽, Kislyak M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Alerrandro ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 62', Gerson ↓, Vega R. ↑,
- 62', Mostovoy A. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 62', Cassierra M. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 64', Kislyak M. 🟨,
- 70', Glebov K. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
- 70', Matheus Alves ↓, Verde L. ↑,
- 74', Akinfeev I. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Sobolev A. (Pen),
- 84', Wendel ↓, Glushenkov M. ↑,
- 85', Krugovoy D. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
- 88', Pedro ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 90+6', Moises 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zenit
56.6% | Draw
26.8% | CSKA Moscow
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Zenit - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73
(1.73) |
3.65 ↓
(3.84) |
5.89 ↑
(5.63) |
2.4%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zenit - CSKA Moscow?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). CSKA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 1 - 50%). CSKA (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 2.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- In this match, Zenit is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in CSKA: Villagra R.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Zenit will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against CSKA Moscow?
Zenit has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Zenit?
CSKA Moscow has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
14.05.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Zenit
3:0
30.04.2025
Zenit
-
CSKA Moscow
2:0
01.03.2025
Zenit
-
CSKA Moscow
0:0
04.02.2025
Zenit
-
CSKA Moscow
2:2
14.09.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Zenit
0:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
