Result
0:3
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/316) | 88% (473/537) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/316) | 88% (473/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 58% (39/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 76% (111/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Alip N. ⚽,
- 29', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 39', Cassierra M. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
- 45', Kamano F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mukhin M. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 2, Gustavo Mantuan (Pen),
- 73', Glushenkov M. ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 73', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Drkusic V. ↑,
- 73', Ezhov R. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 73', Ignatov M. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 85', Kamano F. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
- 85', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Mostovoy A. (Pen),
- 87', Luiz Henrique ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 87', Pedrinho ↓, Gerson ↑,
Chances of winning
Sochi
11.5% | Draw
19.5% | Zenit
69% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Sochi - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.49 ↑
(7.63) |
5 ↑
(4.87) |
1.42 ↑
(1.39) |
2.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sochi - Zenit?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zenit will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
- Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zenit is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zenit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zenit: Gerson
(Hip Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:32. (average 0.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Zenit?
Sochi has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Sochi?
Zenit has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Zenit were as follows:
02.07.2024
Zenit
-
Sochi
5:2
25.11.2023
Zenit
-
Sochi
3:0
07.10.2023
Sochi
-
Zenit
0:2
27.05.2023
Sochi
-
Zenit
1:1
24.10.2022
Zenit
-
Sochi
7:0
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
