Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (299/407) | 72% (255/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (299/407) | 72% (255/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/49) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (115/171) | 58% (60/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Rafael Elias ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 28', Ohata A. 🟨,
- 35', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽,
- 62', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 70', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 70', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Sakata R. ⚽,
- 74', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 74', Ishida Y. ↓, Henrique Trevisan ↑,
- 74', Honda F. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 75', Matsuda T. 🟨,
- 77', Hatanaka S. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
- 77', Ohata A. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
- 79', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 90+1', Homma S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
42.2% | Draw
27.7% | Cerezo Osaka
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.05) |
3.39 ↓
(3.48) |
3.13 ↓
(3.52) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kyoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Kim Jin-Hyeon
(Ankle Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
28.09.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
21.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:4
03.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:3
17.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:5
01.06.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
