Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (260/332) | 90% (551/612) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (260/332) | 90% (551/612) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 69% (24/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (42/65) | 78% (142/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Barbero I. ⚽, Fontan J. (A),
- 64', Simoes J. 🟨,
- 69', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
- 69', Trincao ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
- 70', van Ee E. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 70', Rocha M. ↓, Dante A. ↑,
- 76', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
- 76', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
- 80', Matheus Reis ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
- 80', Luis Guilherme ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 84', Djouahra N. 🟨,
- 87', Barbero I. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 88', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 90', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
- 90+7', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Matheus Reis 🟥,
- 90+7', Silva R. 🟨,
- 90:00, Rocha M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Arouca
10.7% | Draw
16.6% | Sporting Lisbon
72.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Arouca - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9 ↓
(11.62) |
5.7 ↓
(6.78) |
1.3 ↑
(1.21) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arouca - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Sporting will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 65% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sporting (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Arouca (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Arouca (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sporting (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 0.
- Arouca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Arouca: Pedro Santos
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sporting: Diomande O.
(Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Muscle Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Quaresma E.
(Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 12:47. (average 0.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Sporting Lisbon?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Arouca?
Sporting Lisbon has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arouca
6:0
15.02.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arouca
2:2
13.09.2024
Arouca
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
10.03.2024
Arouca
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
08.10.2023
Sporting Lisbon
-
Arouca
2:1
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 64:14 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | Benfica | 26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55:17 | 38 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:22 | 10 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:45 | -19 | 27 |
| 12 | Arouca | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:55 | -22 | 26 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Estrela | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
