Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
1:5
04/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 1
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTelia, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3223
Shots off target
249
Shooting PCT
3.13% (1/32)21.74% (5/23)
Blocked Shots
194
Goalkeeper Saves
1831
Saves PCT
81.82% (18/22)96.88% (31/32)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Hits
1820
Faceoffs Won
2735
Faceoffs %
43.5556.45
Giveaways
1318
Takeaways
65
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 00:53, 0 - 1, McMann B. (G), Roy N. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
  • 11:45, 0 - 2, Laughton S. (G), Myers P. (A), Benoit S. (A2)
  • 13:00, Matthews A. (2 min),
  • 15:45, 1 - 2, Jarvis S. (G), Gostisbehere S. (A), Aho S. (A2)
  • 17:23, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 04:44, 1 - 3, Knies M. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 10:39, 1 - 4, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:01, Woll J. ↓, Hildeby D. ↑,
  • 01:08, Svechnikov A. (2 min),
  • 08:40, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 13:03, Chatfield J. (2 min),
  • 18:16, 1 - 5, McMann B. (G), Roy N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carolina Hurricanes
53.9%		Draw
20.7%		Toronto Maple Leafs
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 21.5% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 20.8% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Hurricanes's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
    •

    Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.77 ↓
    (1.97)    		 4.62 ↑
    (4.38)    		 3.73 ↑
    (3.09)    		 4.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carolina will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carolina: 12% – 65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Carolina: Legault C. (Hand Injury) Slavin J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carolina: Kochetkov P. (Lower-Body Injury) Kotkaniemi J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:74. (average 3.5:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 3.2:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes 4:5
    13.04.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    22.02.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes 6:3
    09.01.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:3
    24.03.2024 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:1
    Latest results of Carolina Hurricanes
    30.11.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Calgary Flames 1:0 ✺
    28.11.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Winnipeg Jets 5:1 ✺
    26.11.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - New York Rangers 2:4 ✺
    23.11.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Carolina Hurricanes 4:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Winnipeg Jets - Carolina Hurricanes 3:4 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    02.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4 ✺
    29.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7 ✺
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    26.11.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5635399216:14085
    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights582171416197:18370
    5Anaheim Ducks571912323191:20065
    6Utah Mammoth58237424185:16164
    7Edmonton Oilers59217823203:20064
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings571491420150:16760
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Winnipeg Jets57203826163:17754
    13Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks58126733151:21343


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

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