Result
0:1
10/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32
- Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Perugia
41.1% | Draw
29.9% | Modena
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3%)
Perugia - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.25) |
3.16 ↑
(3) |
3.27 ↑
(2.9) |
5.6%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Modena?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (16.48%), project points - 44, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Modena has the most likely position - 12 (13.95%), project points - 48, currently - 39, a very small chance of relegated (5%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, small importance 29, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3.
- Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Modena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Perugia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Perugia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Modena?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Perugia?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Modena were as follows:
12.11.2022
Modena
-
Perugia
1:1
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
