Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:7
27/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2331
Shots off target
915
Shooting PCT
17.39% (4/23)22.58% (7/31)
Blocked shots
2013
Goalkeeper Saves
2419
Saves PCT
80% (24/30)82.61% (19/23)
Penalties
20
PIM
40
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/0)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (0/0)
Hits
3216
Faceoffs Won
3517
Faceoffs %
67.3132.69
Giveaways
1124
Takeaways
85
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 3)
  • 07:44, 1 - 0, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 09:29, 1 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), McLeod R. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
  • 10:49, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 12:14, Luukkonen U. ↓, Ellis C. ↑,
  • 12:27, Lorentz S. (2 min),
  • 13:16, 2 - 2, Doan J. (G), Dahlin R. (A),
  • 18:05, 2 - 3, Thompson T. (G),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 11:17, 3 - 3, McMann B. (G), Matthews A. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 18:17, 3 - 4, Dahlin R. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 3)
  • 00:15, 3 - 5, Tuch A. (G), Thompson T. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
  • 06:53, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 11:33, 3 - 6, Quinn J. (G), Dahlin R. (A),
  • 14:59, 4 - 6, Domi M. (G), Matthews A. (A), McMann B. (A2)
  • 19:17, 4 - 7, Dahlin R. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
40.7%		Draw
22.2%		Buffalo Sabres
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 22.8% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 24.2% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-4%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.34 ↑
    (2.25)    		 4.29 ↑
    (4.14)    		 2.55 ↓
    (2.69)    		 5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 23.1% – 88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Buffalo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Groin Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Bryson J. (Upper-Body Injury) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Dunne J. (Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Buffalo: Norris J. (Ribs Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 72:69. (average 3.6:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 3.5:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:3
    24.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3
    15.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 0:4
    20.12.2024 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:6
    15.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 5:3
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    25.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 1:4 ✺
    23.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    21.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 1:2 ✺
    19.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 3:6 ✺
    17.01.2026 Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    24.01.2026 New York Islanders - Buffalo Sabres 0:5 ✺
    22.01.2026 Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres 2:4 ✺
    20.01.2026 Nashville Predators - Buffalo Sabres 3:5 ✺
    19.01.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Buffalo Sabres 2:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild 4:5 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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