Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
149:128
27/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanySky Sport Top Event
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9791
Field goals made
5240
Field goals %
53.61%43.96%
2-point field goals attempts
5645
2-point field goals made
3325
2-point field goals %
58.93%55.56%
3-point field goals attempts
4146
3-point field goals made
1915
3-point field goals %
46.34%32.61%
Free throws attempts
3138
Free throws made
2633
Free throws %
83.9%86.8%
Offensive rebounds
711
Defensive rebounds
3934
Total rebounds
4645
Assists
3825
Blocks
14
Turnovers
1013
Steals
95
Personal fouls
2622
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cleveland Cavaliers
65.9%
Miami Heat
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Cavaliers's performance.
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Cavaliers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.77)

    2.83
    (2.2)
    3.7%
    (2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 241.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Miami will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 38.5%81.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 124:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 3.
    • Cleveland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Miami has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cleveland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cleveland: Allen J. (Knee Injury) Porter C. (Groin Injury) Sarr O. (Calf Injury) Strus M. (Rest) Tyson J. (Toe Injury) Wade D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • We predict that Cleveland will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2247:2144. (average 112.4:107.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 959:934. (average 106.6:103.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat were as follows:
    25.03.2026 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 103:120
    12.11.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 116:130
    10.11.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 140:138
    13.07.2025 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 92:72
    28.04.2025 Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers 83:138
    Latest results of Cleveland Cavaliers
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    25.03.2026 Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat 103:120
    23.03.2026 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 111:136
    21.03.2026 Houston Rockets - Miami Heat 123:122
    19.03.2026 Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers 126:134
    17.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 136:106
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )