Talavera de la Reina vs Real Madrid Castilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla
30/04/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
26.1%
Draw
26.7%
Real Madrid Castilla
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 26.9% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 26.3% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.
  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (4.56)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    1.94
    (1.72)
    9%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1.
    • Recent matches Talavera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real Madrid Castilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
    10.12.2022 Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina 0:0
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3
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