Real Madrid Castilla vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
5	2
Corner kicks
7	0
Yellow cards
1	2
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	1
Corner kicks
7	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Sergio Benito ⚽,
36', Aranzabe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ciria A. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
46', Ortega J. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
57', Aranzabe A. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
57', Ramos J. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
66', Guerrero A. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
66', Ochoa M. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
71', Fortuny P. ↓, Navascues L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Navascues L. ⚽,
77', Sergio Benito ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
83', Rivas M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
83', Fati L. ↓, Aguado D. ↑,
90', Jelbat A. 🟨,
90+6', Aguado D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid Castilla
49.6%

Draw
28.9%

Ourense CF
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	4.27 ↑ (3.68)	8.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF?

Users Predictions: Real Madrid Castilla will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 15).
Real Madrid Castilla is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ourense CF has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ourense CF?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Ourense CF has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF were as follows:

19.10.2025 Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla 1:3

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

11.04.2026 Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla 0:5 ✺

03.04.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Celta de Vigo B 5:1 ✺

27.03.2026 Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Zamora 2:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Ourense CF

11.04.2026 Ourense CF - Lugo 4:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Real Avilés - Ourense CF 2:1 ✺

29.03.2026 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 0:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Pontevedra - Ourense CF 0:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	32	19	9	4	52:19	33	66
2	Celta Vigo B	32	16	9	7	52:42	10	57
3	Real Madrid B	33	14	8	11	52:42	10	50
4	Pontevedra	32	12	13	7	38:24	14	49
5	Zamora	32	13	10	9	43:37	6	49
6	Barakaldo	32	12	12	8	41:33	8	48
7	Ponferradina	32	13	8	11	36:28	8	47
8	Unionistas	32	13	8	11	45:42	3	47
9	Lugo	32	11	12	9	32:34	-2	45
10	AD Merida	32	12	9	11	42:45	-3	45
11	Arenas Getxo	32	13	5	14	38:47	-9	44
12	Ath Bilbao B	32	12	8	12	33:36	-3	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	32	12	6	14	35:41	-6	42
14	Real Aviles	32	11	7	14	46:53	-7	40
15	Ourense CF	33	9	11	13	37:38	-1	38
16	CF Talavera	32	9	8	15	32:41	-9	35
17	Guadalajara	32	9	8	15	35:47	-12	35
18	Cacereno	32	7	13	12	30:41	-11	34
19	Osasuna B	32	7	9	16	23:38	-15	30
20	Arenteiro	32	6	9	17	29:43	-14	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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