Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 13
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (362/465) | 62% (164/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (362/465) | 62% (164/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 34% (27/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (83/138) | 53% (63/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.15 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Ibrahim B. (A),
- 21', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
- 28', Bauer P. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽, Hippolyte M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bauer P. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
- 46', Harbottle R. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 2, Browne M. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
- 55', McCabe L. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 55', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 62', Edwards J. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
- 70', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 83', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 83', Bugiel O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
- 84', Ibrahim B. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 88', Asiimwe N. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
19.8% | Draw
37.7% | AFC Wimbledon
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Argyle's form might have worsened.AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+28.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-17.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.92 ↑
(2.03) |
3.6 ↑
(3.42) |
2.99 ↓
(3.6) |
-26.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
- Plymouth is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wimbledon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Plymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Plymouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
Szucs K.
(Knee Injury)
Watts C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(International duty)
Johnson R.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Plymouth Argyle?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
21.12.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
AFC Wimbledon
4:3
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
