Willem II vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

Eerste Divisie - Round 32
Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.27	1.02
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	3
Passes
78% (347/446)	82% (369/451)
Yellow cards
2	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.27	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	0.80
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
9	8
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
39	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
17	9
Passes
78% (347/446)	82% (369/451)
Long passes
48% (24/50)	48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
64% (97/152)	66% (60/91)
Crosses
36% (10/28)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.37
Throw ins
25	14
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
61% (14/23)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
61	44
Clearances
20	38
Interceptions
5	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.80	0.67
Goals prevented
-1.20	0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, El Allachi C. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Twigt C. 🟨,
61', El Allachi C. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Simons J. ⚽,
71', Baartmans S. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
71', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
79', Twigt C. 🟨,
81', Kaninda N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
81', Eggens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
82', Doodeman N. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
83', Schoppema L. 🟨,
86', Gijselhart T. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
86', Schoppema L. ↓, Smits M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Willem II
40.6%

Draw
24.7%

De Graafschap
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

23.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Willem II - De Graafschap Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	2.69 ↓ (2.72)	7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Willem II - De Graafschap?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 44.9% – 88.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
Willem II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Tjoe a On N. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against De Graafschap?

Willem II has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Willem II?

De Graafschap has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - De Graafschap were as follows:

12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1

09.02.2024 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:2

06.10.2023 Willem II - De Graafschap 4:2

16.12.2022 De Graafschap - Willem II 0:3

Latest results of Willem II

22.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 0:5 ✺

13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Emmen - Willem II 0:3 ✺

24.02.2026 Willem II - ADO Den Haag 0:1 ✺

Latest results of De Graafschap

22.03.2026 De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 De Graafschap - Vitesse 1:4 ✺

27.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺

20.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Jong PSV	36	17	5	14	65:59	6	56
6	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
7	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
8	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Vitesse	36	15	10	11	63:53	10	43
13	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
14	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
15	Jong Utrecht	35	10	9	16	52:61	-9	39
16	Oss	36	9	11	16	48:62	-14	38
17	Jong AZ	36	11	4	21	59:73	-14	37
18	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
19	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
20	Jong Ajax	36	8	8	20	49:71	-22	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie