Castro vs Atlético Albericia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, ,
  • 85', 0 - 2, ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Castro
34.3%
Draw
33.9%
Atlético Albericia
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 28.3% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 26.9% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castro's performance.
  • Atlético Albericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Albericia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Albericia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castro - Atlético Albericia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (4)
    2.7
    (3.15)
    2.88
    (1.8)
    9.5%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Castro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Atlético Albericia were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Atlético Albericia - Castro 2:0
    06.10.2024 Castro - Atlético Albericia 0:2
    28.03.2024 Castro - Atlético Albericia 2:1
    11.11.2023 Atlético Albericia - Castro 3:0
    06.04.2023 Castro - Atlético Albericia 1:1
    Latest results of Castro
    08.02.2026 Castro - Cayón 2:0
    01.02.2026 Montañas del Pas - Castro 2:0
    17.01.2026 Vimenor - Castro 3:1
    11.01.2026 Tropezón - Castro 3:1
    04.01.2026 Castro - Cartes 4:1
    Latest results of Atlético Albericia
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega27213365:105566
    2Laredo27175549:202956
    3Tropezon27163840:231751
    4Vimenor27156638:241451
    5Atletico Albericia27154849:301949
    6Escobedo271611049:341549
    7Guarnizo27147634:221249
    8Cayon27145840:301047
    9Torina27136832:30245
    10Bezana271061129:31-236
    11Castro27971138:37134
    12CD Barquereno27841531:46-1528
    13UC Cartes27681322:40-1826
    14Revilla27651630:55-2523
    15CD Colindres27391518:37-1918
    16Selaya27461717:35-1818
    17Montanas27461727:73-4618
    18Noja27451816:47-3117

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