Result
1:3
07/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Cup - Semi-finals
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports |
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
 Greece | ERT 2, ERT Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 United-arab-emirates | Maraya, Sharjah Sports |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (446/510) | 79% (349/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (446/510) | 79% (349/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (84/107) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (20/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Otamendi N. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Victor P. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
- 32', Hornicek L. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Zalazar R. ⚽, Dorgeles M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Manu ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 48', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
- 59', Dorgeles M. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
- 59', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
- 59', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Sudakov G. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
- 69', Prestianni G. 🟨,
- 72', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 78', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 80', Aursnes F. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Lagerbielke G. ⚽,
- 85', Zalazar R. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 89', Otamendi N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Benfica
48.2% | Draw
28.5% | Braga
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Benfica - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.74) |
3.3 ↓
(3.68) |
4.05 ↓
(4.33) |
6.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Braga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
- Benfica has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Braga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Braga?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Benfica?
Braga has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Braga were as follows:
28.12.2025
Braga
-
Benfica
2:2
17.05.2025
Braga
-
Benfica
1:1
26.02.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
1:0
08.01.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
3:0
04.01.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
1:2
Latest results of Benfica
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Alverca | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Porto | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Benfica | Tondela | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Braga | Santa Clara | 5 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sporting CP | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Benfica | Braga | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes | Braga | 2 : 1 |
