Result
1:1
03/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/479) | 84% (406/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/479) | 84% (406/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (65/110) | 68% (60/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Dorgeles M. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
- 29', Gabriel Moscardo 🟨,
- 36', Xeka 🟨,
- 38', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bacher F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zalazar R. ↓, Luisinho ↑,
- 50', Ferro 🟨,
- 54', Ferro ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 61', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 70', Moutinho J. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
- 70', Amaral P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 80', Begraoui Y. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 80', Guitane R. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
- 81', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 90+2', Luisinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
55.7% | Draw
24.1% | Estoril Praia
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estoril Praia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estoril Praia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Braga - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.51) |
3.92 ↓
(4.68) |
4.69 ↓
(6.45) |
5.7%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Braga - Estoril Praia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3.
- Braga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estoril is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Braga is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B.
(Injury)
Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Gorby
(Yellow Cards)
Niakate S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodrigues D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Bimai L.
(Inactive)
Boma K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Horta R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:13. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Estoril Praia?
Braga has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Braga?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Estoril Praia were as follows:
19.12.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
1:0
19.04.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
0:2
06.12.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
13.04.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
0:1
27.01.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
